[{"id":"s6t9nu6fa7","isApi":false,"userId":"A2d3FKnqE9QW2TBUrhJ2jz6Xx2B2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"m5mo9e8i0x","label":"NayutaIto"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"image","attrs":{"alt":null,"src":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2Fpn2nS8LSLs.jpg?alt=media&token=97a50e1b-c5d7-4af9-9364-3b4dbce455a6","title":null}},{"type":"paragraph"}]},"userName":"Nathan Metzger","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766516909674,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Haiku","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIjQXIf2njmqzMlFcCjvPdfMG5FDqrDo0mBzTJvO376IoJisHdf=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"m5mo9e8i0x","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":3e-14,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"3dt4vizv1nr","isApi":false,"pinned":true,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2","label":"traders"}},{"text":" Round 2 begins tomorrow :)","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"https://manifold.markets/bens/will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle-round","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://manifold.markets/bens/will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle-round","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]}]}]},"pinnerId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","pinnedTime":1766514924981,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766514919529,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":4},{"id":"519w647n48","isApi":false,"userId":"Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"fxex5ufeefl","label":"phenomist"}},{"text":" well done!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ziddletwix","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766514020558,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Ziddletwix","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FZiddletwix%2FnC9klaCITf.jpeg?alt=media&token=f3cabfda-358c-4301-8983-3ba213ef2b96","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"fxex5ufeefl","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":995.5295143138584,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"edo4wvpss7w","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Seems Benko gambit is an example of Stigler's law of eponymy, inasmuch as the gambit wasn't invented by Benkö","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766492743582,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"xvgdq29ut5","isApi":false,"userId":"kp1baNwv1JavDrOAfdy0tpNU5WB2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Alas, it has all come to an end. We shall all give tips to the winning comment! ","type":"text"},{"text":"https://manifold.markets/bens/will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle#4lwru1xvkf","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://manifold.markets/bens/will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle#4lwru1xvkf","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]}]}]},"userName":"john 🫘 kyu san 𝛊 ⭐️","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766492637263,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766492500475,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"johnNZOy","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FjohnNZOy%2FUsEZAquyqu.png?alt=media&token=60d491e9-f6e5-4fc6-b14b-78caa461687e","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":-3e-14,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"q6r8qvpp9el","isApi":false,"userId":"Ddm060TkMrbUqyi4jfMQCoOZMdA3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Did someone say cyrllic?","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Союз нерушимый республик свободных","type":"text"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"Сплотила навеки Великая Русь.","type":"text"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"Да здравствует созданный волей народов","type":"text"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"Единый, могучий Советский Союз!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"121 🫘 roku nana 𝛊","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766491793152,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766491776410,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"121","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2F121%2FLgnq86zRNg.png?alt=media&token=54be0a38-9af4-474a-b9b5-ba7e5db4a11f","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":9.6e-14,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"fxex5ufeefl","isApi":false,"pinned":true,"userId":"Iu2wB6W0h1VCXCXLhrktJ7ZkKxk1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I wrote up my experience with the market on my blog here: ","type":"text"},{"text":"https://phenomist.wordpress.com/2025/12/23/solving-a-puzzle-for-fun-and-profit/","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://phenomist.wordpress.com/2025/12/23/solving-a-puzzle-for-fun-and-profit/","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]}]}]},"pinnerId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","userName":"phenomist","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","pinnedTime":1766495319025,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766483566474,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"phenomist","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLHdBzHSDMG-RADrKIBUmK68PWN2q6mt9eqAqAHCbo_EZw=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":52522.49037718257,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":17},{"id":"ha0xxlrewd9","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"9yisazbc3hw","label":"NayutaIto"}},{"text":" oh ","type":"text"},{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","label":"JussiVilleHeiskanen"}},{"text":" super cool!  ya, I  guess so?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766465203402,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"tvc59n8nob","likes":0},{"id":"u1z3c0o4z","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I did some basic accounting on the multi-answer market that was new today, I added 39 answers for 3900 mana, and after counting return of liquidity and trading returns, I was up 34 mana.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Just goes to show, folks -- always worth it to subsidize stuff.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766465022046,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"9z701ulkzf","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":-1.73263e-12,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":4},{"id":"9yisazbc3hw","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"tvc59n8nob","label":"JussiVilleHeiskanen"}},{"text":" So we proved our METI is decipherable to aliens","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766461835872,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"tvc59n8nob","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":1717.0388287571723,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"xprpvmdiqra","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"tal4a2wq5jn","label":"bens"}},{"text":" cycle the message so they realize it is periodic, and can be decifered thereby","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766460412271,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"tvc59n8nob","likes":2},{"id":"tal4a2wq5jn","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"tvc59n8nob","label":"JussiVilleHeiskanen"}},{"text":" how so?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766460358642,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"tvc59n8nob","likes":0},{"id":"tvc59n8nob","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"So you essentially had a METI pattern. Message to ExtraTerrestrial Intelligences.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766460318972,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":2},{"id":"cx2w14suhqh","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"oycdy18ogk","label":"bens"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"},{"type":"contract-mention","attrs":{"id":"5OS0hItUNR","label":"/Eliza/-will-bens-puzzle-unlock-a-new-hint"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I just needed a market to pay for hints in 🤣, no one took me up on the generous offer of a 5% discount.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766460086068,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4lwru1xvkf","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":-1.73263e-12,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"270lfgl1732","isApi":false,"userId":"dp5qoJAOmqgfNGxbRm00x8b9bU03","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"stsrmzfp2om","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" I think his effort is worth a tithe ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Mactuary","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766459976783,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Mactuary","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMactuary%2FkyfcaNY7ED.jpeg?alt=media&token=056f660f-81fe-4235-b977-b24dde9fa772","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"9z701ulkzf","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":19678.470976127788,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"oycdy18ogk","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"zyoui3v9l1m","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" wait WHAT?!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766459950797,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4lwru1xvkf","likes":1},{"id":"wblvkqrt5a","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"zyoui3v9l1m","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" I thought it was a valiant attempt to start a cabal up, though. There was potential for it to become one. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766459843789,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4lwru1xvkf","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":4.333e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"zyoui3v9l1m","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"tuyfck7310j","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" The whole thing was just for show to keep Ben interested in the market. As you saw when you got to see the unlisted market, it was not a secret cabal but just another version of an incentive to unlock hints. (And everyone invited had to post publicly....I made sure it wasn't secret.)","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766459843715,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766459788174,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4lwru1xvkf","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":-1.73263e-12,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"tuyfck7310j","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"sxqscgyqjqe","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"There was never a secret cabal, at least as far as I am aware. That was all just for fun. ","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"There was \"The Eyes\". Do you not count that? ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766459731667,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4lwru1xvkf","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":4.333e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"m5mo9e8i0x","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Oh no we were unable to say AAAAU, AAAAV, AAAAW, AAAAX, AAAAY before the jackpot","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766459620463,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":1717.0388287571723,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":6},{"id":"stsrmzfp2om","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"p786687cdg8","label":"Mactuary"}},{"text":" I was willing to sacrifice mana to unlock hints but I kept finding that the only effective way was to hold No shares which I really didn't want to do.  I think there's a reasonable chance we never got enough hints to see the pattern repeat if Caleb didn't buy so many No shares.  I was going to donate any profit to Caleb but since I'm down mana overall it's hard to justify too much.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766459519264,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"9z701ulkzf","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":-1.73263e-12,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"p786687cdg8","isApi":false,"userId":"dp5qoJAOmqgfNGxbRm00x8b9bU03","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"9z701ulkzf","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" This was a blast. Ended up big here (unranked) while the side bets are gonna get me demoted. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Mactuary","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766459425843,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Mactuary","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMactuary%2FkyfcaNY7ED.jpeg?alt=media&token=056f660f-81fe-4235-b977-b24dde9fa772","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"9z701ulkzf","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":19678.470976127788,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"fzr71plkc3j","isApi":false,"userId":"sNYJvyKBGxTEjvFWQ8AzV4SGIC92","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"7q1b5m82irl","label":"bens"}},{"text":" only 13 hints were valid","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"✓","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766459330391,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NorthShoreAwesome","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMyDreamIsHere2018%2F0Qc2UULRt2.jpg?alt=media&token=cef3c3a9-6578-4b85-8e8a-3deee8d8e3c4","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"7q1b5m82irl","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":20.379241878424978,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"9z701ulkzf","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"The accounting is a little messy but even though I ended up down by 177 mana in this market, I had positive profit overall related to this whole saga.  I did probably lose a little bit in overall balance due to lots of subsidies in various other markets and the bounty.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766459242545,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":-1.73263e-12,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"a4wgi2uxthe","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"endr78hisre","label":"MyDreamIsHere2018"}},{"text":" yes indeed it could!  in this case it did not, however!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766459120432,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"2riwyxxjvv6","likes":0},{"id":"endr78hisre","isApi":false,"userId":"sNYJvyKBGxTEjvFWQ8AzV4SGIC92","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"ypp8mrf4c7","label":"bens"}},{"text":" Can an answer have more than one set of clues - like multiple clues pointing to the same answer?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"✓","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766459100320,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NorthShoreAwesome","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMyDreamIsHere2018%2F0Qc2UULRt2.jpg?alt=media&token=cef3c3a9-6578-4b85-8e8a-3deee8d8e3c4","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"2riwyxxjvv6","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":20.379241878424978,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"58tpwvmvhiu","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"71mj3nj8a6v","label":"MyDreamIsHere2018"}},{"text":" yes 😆 ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766459086978,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"o9mewxumtt","likes":0},{"id":"ypp8mrf4c7","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"2riwyxxjvv6","label":"MyDreamIsHere2018"}},{"text":" unintentional!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766459020103,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"2riwyxxjvv6","likes":2},{"id":"71mj3nj8a6v","isApi":false,"userId":"sNYJvyKBGxTEjvFWQ8AzV4SGIC92","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"zysbhekx0kp","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" is it a  coincidence  that  both are not alive and both are Charles?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"✓","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766459014666,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NorthShoreAwesome","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMyDreamIsHere2018%2F0Qc2UULRt2.jpg?alt=media&token=cef3c3a9-6578-4b85-8e8a-3deee8d8e3c4","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"o9mewxumtt","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":20.379241878424978,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"48hkefv7c05","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Huh? Why are there many notifications? Did anyone get a jackpot?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766458977918,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":1717.0388287571723,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"zysbhekx0kp","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"o9mewxumtt","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" It was the end of the sequence.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766458958934,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"o9mewxumtt","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":-1.73263e-12,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"2riwyxxjvv6","isApi":false,"userId":"sNYJvyKBGxTEjvFWQ8AzV4SGIC92","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Sometron. hint is related to the Tamam Shud mystery. The Somerton Man was later identified as Carl “Charles” Webb, who was poisoned","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Pal Charles Benko","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":"[1]","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pal_Benko#cite_note-nyt-2","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}},{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" (","type":"text"},{"text":"Hungarian","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hungarian_language","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}},{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":": ","type":"text"},{"text":"Benkő Pál","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}]},{"text":"; July 15, 1928 – August 25, 2019","type":"text"},{"text":"[a]","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pal_Benko#cite_note-fn1-1","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}},{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":") was a Hungarian and American ","type":"text"},{"text":"chess grandmaster","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chess_grandmaster","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}},{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":", author, and ","type":"text"},{"text":"composer","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chess_composer","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}},{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" of ","type":"text"},{"text":"endgame studies","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Endgame_study","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}},{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" and ","type":"text"},{"text":"chess problems","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chess_problem","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}},{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":".","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"✓","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766458937236,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NorthShoreAwesome","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMyDreamIsHere2018%2F0Qc2UULRt2.jpg?alt=media&token=cef3c3a9-6578-4b85-8e8a-3deee8d8e3c4","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":20.379241878424978,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"n1kzotga5u8","isApi":false,"userId":"Iu2wB6W0h1VCXCXLhrktJ7ZkKxk1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"5u162cjx45k","label":"MyDreamIsHere2018"}},{"text":" take the first letters of clues, the character represented for the bracketed ones","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"phenomist","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766458916666,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"phenomist","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLHdBzHSDMG-RADrKIBUmK68PWN2q6mt9eqAqAHCbo_EZw=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4lwru1xvkf","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":52522.49037718257,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"o9mewxumtt","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"So what was the period after Somerton supposed to mean","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766458832712,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":11582.632394458562,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"5u162cjx45k","isApi":false,"userId":"sNYJvyKBGxTEjvFWQ8AzV4SGIC92","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"dnzqyoel49n","label":"phenomist"}},{"text":" sounds very strange for me, how you got the string in the 1st place?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"✓","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766458726168,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NorthShoreAwesome","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMyDreamIsHere2018%2F0Qc2UULRt2.jpg?alt=media&token=cef3c3a9-6578-4b85-8e8a-3deee8d8e3c4","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4lwru1xvkf","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":20.379241878424978,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"fyeimnxapq","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"mrd8cx0z9zl","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" Should have bet even more on it!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766458657786,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4hg4djzl60m","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":-1.73263e-12,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"mrd8cx0z9zl","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Well I was right about this at least","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766458632554,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4hg4djzl60m","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":11582.632394458562,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"o6k87uzfmg","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"470q5ic27cw","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" no but I wish I did so I might just say it was on purpose","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766458565758,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"7q1b5m82irl","likes":1},{"id":"obsew6mdgdd","isApi":false,"userId":"sNYJvyKBGxTEjvFWQ8AzV4SGIC92","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"470q5ic27cw","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" Hungary isn’t landlocked - it has access to the sea  via an international river.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"✓","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766458502104,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766458438565,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NorthShoreAwesome","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMyDreamIsHere2018%2F0Qc2UULRt2.jpg?alt=media&token=cef3c3a9-6578-4b85-8e8a-3deee8d8e3c4","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"7q1b5m82irl","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":20.379241878424978,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"470q5ic27cw","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Did you intentionally make the words have a consistent coastal theme to troll us","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me 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I took the notation (d4Nf6c4c5d5b5), rotated it by 180 degrees, and then encoded that into a series of clues.  The 180-degree rotated character was the first letter of the corresponding clue, and in the cases of 180-rotated f and c, which aren't parse-able in alphanumeric, the character is encoded with a unicode hint instead.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Congrats to ","type":"text"},{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"Iu2wB6W0h1VCXCXLhrktJ7ZkKxk1","label":"phenomist"}},{"text":" for solving!","type":"text"}]}]},"pinnerId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766460567546,"pinnedTime":1766460376393,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766458122893,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":23},{"id":"em5dtbxhhy5","isApi":false,"userId":"sNYJvyKBGxTEjvFWQ8AzV4SGIC92","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"gu39scm521j","label":"realDonaldTrump"}},{"text":"  BEN + Co (in german/slavic sound C = letter K)","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"✓","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766458121757,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NorthShoreAwesome","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMyDreamIsHere2018%2F0Qc2UULRt2.jpg?alt=media&token=cef3c3a9-6578-4b85-8e8a-3deee8d8e3c4","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"gu39scm521j","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":20.379241878424978,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"gu39scm521j","isApi":false,"userId":"G6VshilGdXb9s1Mx0sxwhho6Jvc2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"so ","type":"text"},{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","label":"bens"}},{"text":"... the question is why?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eli Goldfine","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766458019141,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"realTomBayes","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FrealDonaldTrump%2FZ9ZpnLphg9.jpg?alt=media&token=2c72ff22-31ba-45ea-9575-7abe16a9fb5f","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":6040.364329318036,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"dwgnt5f3o0j","isApi":false,"userId":"Iu2wB6W0h1VCXCXLhrktJ7ZkKxk1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"a7n7yrd1d06","label":"bens"}},{"text":" oh yea I also got a mana loan because I was out of mana to leverage my info lol","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"phenomist","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766457998312,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"phenomist","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLHdBzHSDMG-RADrKIBUmK68PWN2q6mt9eqAqAHCbo_EZw=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"a7n7yrd1d06","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":52522.49037718257,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"k4ptpvx180d","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"5v2imj1isua","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" Shoutout to ","type":"text"},{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"OcQJOdj0RPRna74hkfLfB6QL2dC2","label":"CDBiddulph"}},{"text":" for singlehandedly unlocking like 8 hints in a row.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766457962044,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"a7n7yrd1d06","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":-1.73263e-12,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"8qsqoqxop4n","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Phenomenal","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766457867657,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":11582.632394458562,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"5v2imj1isua","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"a7n7yrd1d06","label":"bens"}},{"text":" I was reasonably confident that it would be the correct answer and I had a lot of Yes shares so I had no issue paying directly for the answer in this case.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766457773558,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"a7n7yrd1d06","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":-1.73263e-12,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"a7n7yrd1d06","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"It's kind of cool that the person who solved the puzzle also got the most profit!  I wasn't sure it would end that way!  So, that's a pretty good effect of this market format.  I have a second puzzle ready to go and I'll launch that one tomorrow.  I tweaked the mechanism so that it should result in slightly more dynamic behavior than this one which just quivered back and forth around the 50% mark.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766457698426,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":9},{"id":"c0nbiur41w4","isApi":false,"userId":"NBw6afhgmHWb4pqOWvyzYQ9wBJj1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Good game!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Max E 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766457459661,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MaxE","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKF1hmknqZKBlhKD9R4pr0RAWGNU0L7h3Gd_lvrtcY-PgU=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":465.2315359279117,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"dnzqyoel49n","isApi":false,"userId":"Iu2wB6W0h1VCXCXLhrktJ7ZkKxk1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"But yeah, the upside down c and f were instrumental in thinking about turning the other letters upside down too. My first thought was hexadecimal but I couldn't incorporate the N. (I also had reversed the string). Once the string was re-reversed the chess notation was enough to google and win","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"phenomist","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766457430996,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"phenomist","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLHdBzHSDMG-RADrKIBUmK68PWN2q6mt9eqAqAHCbo_EZw=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4lwru1xvkf","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":52522.49037718257,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":9},{"id":"6dj3f7y1wzp","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"f1cgyhfdl8e","label":"phenomist"}},{"text":" oh wow!  That's pretty fast from figuring out the repeating pattern of 13 to then extract the key sequence","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766457422641,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766457403765,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4lwru1xvkf","likes":2},{"id":"sixo6i39qi","isApi":false,"userId":"C22C9JRbycX3PfZ3O4EdsiZmzM83","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"0osz9uv6im3","label":"phenomist"}},{"text":" incredible play ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Kyle","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766457391318,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"KyleY","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fcdgc%2F5h5qu2nqQ9.png?alt=media&token=e7a116d4-e201-4290-9a85-703618deeacd","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"64u1m7aq366","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":3.5e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"f1cgyhfdl8e","betId":"lyRdNUCSN8Su","isApi":false,"userId":"Iu2wB6W0h1VCXCXLhrktJ7ZkKxk1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"8clphpmu8z","label":"bens"}},{"text":" Once I was buying up all the YES shares I was very confident in my answer. When I posted the earlier message, I had noticed that the first letters (treating the [] as the characters they represented) had started looping with a period of 13. I then spent some time thinking about how to extract the puzzle","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"Iu2wB6W0h1VCXCXLhrktJ7ZkKxk1","userName":"phenomist","betAmount":499.99999999999994,"betOutcome":"YES","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766457337044,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"phenomist","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLHdBzHSDMG-RADrKIBUmK68PWN2q6mt9eqAqAHCbo_EZw=s96-c","betOrderAmount":499.99999999999994,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4lwru1xvkf","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":52522.49037718257,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":11},{"id":"17gpu99alv7","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"sxqscgyqjqe","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" oh wow tbh I thought there was like a 5% chance it was solved by Hint 9 or something and the rest was weird mana negotiations behind the scenes, but congrats ","type":"text"},{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"Iu2wB6W0h1VCXCXLhrktJ7ZkKxk1","label":"phenomist"}},{"text":" for cracking it then?  I'd love to hear your explanation of how you solved it?!?!?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766457331695,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4lwru1xvkf","likes":2},{"id":"sxqscgyqjqe","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"8clphpmu8z","label":"bens"}},{"text":" There was never a secret cabal, at least as far as I am aware. That was all just for fun.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766457257941,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4lwru1xvkf","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":-1.73263e-12,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"8clphpmu8z","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"hd5b3hfdc0d","label":"bens"}},{"text":" wow I'm actually quite impressed by the jump from what I saw in the chat to the solution! I expected there to be a couple steps in between, but perhaps this was intentional fog of war ","type":"text"},{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"Iu2wB6W0h1VCXCXLhrktJ7ZkKxk1","label":"phenomist"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"},{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" ?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766457208908,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4lwru1xvkf","likes":0},{"id":"3p3gi4mnq7t","isApi":false,"userId":"IXQvCJEn6gOzwXyljnFqmPPFU6F2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"hd5b3hfdc0d","label":"bens"}},{"text":" can I get an explanation pls","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Kfredric","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766457187031,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Kfredric","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FKfredric%2FMHo14fvaQj.webp?alt=media&token=47e48e2c-65d3-4906-8fc0-d45b446fd577","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4lwru1xvkf","likes":2},{"id":"mt49b40pu3n","isApi":false,"userId":"ogdLVvB7YneqUnxDBGn8Oqqqh4B3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"4lwru1xvkf","label":"phenomist"}},{"text":" Wow","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"}]},"userName":"Pluto Gaming","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766457173725,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"PlutoGaming","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK6_fYSNZOurYNvExJZY4y5eqKcU9bDokPlJqJAGVd7_r7jPg=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4lwru1xvkf","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":-1e-14,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"azbtjjy2fe6","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"We did it!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766457156233,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":-1.73263e-12,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"07oootyky959","isApi":false,"userId":"ogdLVvB7YneqUnxDBGn8Oqqqh4B3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"What?!","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph"}]},"userName":"Pluto Gaming","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766457151061,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"PlutoGaming","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK6_fYSNZOurYNvExJZY4y5eqKcU9bDokPlJqJAGVd7_r7jPg=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":1,"commentorPositionShares":-1e-14,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":5},{"id":"hd5b3hfdc0d","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"4lwru1xvkf","label":"phenomist"}},{"text":" correct","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766457136123,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4lwru1xvkf","likes":15},{"id":"4lwru1xvkf","betId":"RLu6s5UE5ZZA","isApi":false,"userId":"Iu2wB6W0h1VCXCXLhrktJ7ZkKxk1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12-23: BENKO","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"Iu2wB6W0h1VCXCXLhrktJ7ZkKxk1","userName":"phenomist","betAmount":1400,"betOutcome":"YES","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766456997809,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"phenomist","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLHdBzHSDMG-RADrKIBUmK68PWN2q6mt9eqAqAHCbo_EZw=s96-c","betOrderAmount":1400,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":51651.20542759024,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":39},{"id":"ep9vhk4c2zw","betId":"IsuEZEu2ShLP","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"0osz9uv6im3","label":"phenomist"}},{"text":" Alright, well it seems like you have accumulated enough shares to be ride-or-die, so welcome to the club.","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","userName":"Eliza","betAmount":-23.800823319524326,"betOutcome":"YES","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766456814703,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","betOrderAmount":-23.800823319524326,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"64u1m7aq366","commentorPositionProb":0.5799999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":-1.73263e-12,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"0osz9uv6im3","isApi":false,"userId":"Iu2wB6W0h1VCXCXLhrktJ7ZkKxk1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"d346d8ghmjh","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" I won't buy more Yes shares after that","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"phenomist","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766456250865,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"phenomist","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLHdBzHSDMG-RADrKIBUmK68PWN2q6mt9eqAqAHCbo_EZw=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"64u1m7aq366","commentorPositionProb":0.5499999999999997,"commentorPositionShares":41220.242159521185,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"d346d8ghmjh","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"hgjq77xgzb7","label":"phenomist"}},{"text":" What will you do after that, share more info on your reasoning or continue to buy Yes shares?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766456186184,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"64u1m7aq366","commentorPositionProb":0.4999999999999998,"commentorPositionShares":4137.205633232025,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"hgjq77xgzb7","isApi":false,"userId":"Iu2wB6W0h1VCXCXLhrktJ7ZkKxk1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"64u1m7aq366","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" I'll just let this limit order run out","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"phenomist","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766455921805,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"phenomist","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLHdBzHSDMG-RADrKIBUmK68PWN2q6mt9eqAqAHCbo_EZw=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my 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You want to accumulate infinite Yes shares while also blocking the release of more clues? I would have bought from you at 49% instead.","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"Iu2wB6W0h1VCXCXLhrktJ7ZkKxk1","userName":"Eliza","betAmount":0,"betOutcome":"YES","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766455856924,"betLimitProb":0.5,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","betOrderAmount":8445,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"jcto1s1dux9","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"50nomei6i5x","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" Or add them to the multi-market so we can bet on 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","type":"text"},{"text":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General_Archive_of_the_Indies","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General_Archive_of_the_Indies","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]},{"text":")","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"1$ bets","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766451859219,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766451436593,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"1bets","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJkNCtIZBrKGNPgZq_yWAuDgpImlchlDaSMoMHwRmDl_Zz6b2nyEw=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my 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Somerton.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"1$ bets","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766450108173,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"1bets","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJkNCtIZBrKGNPgZq_yWAuDgpImlchlDaSMoMHwRmDl_Zz6b2nyEw=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":0.852229604060783,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"s08qiyxvku","betId":"yAUp6R0sRtR8","isApi":false,"userId":"Iu2wB6W0h1VCXCXLhrktJ7ZkKxk1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I believe I have some insights on this puzzle. Not enough to solve it yet though.","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"Iu2wB6W0h1VCXCXLhrktJ7ZkKxk1","userName":"phenomist","betAmount":50,"betOutcome":"YES","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766449129416,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"phenomist","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLHdBzHSDMG-RADrKIBUmK68PWN2q6mt9eqAqAHCbo_EZw=s96-c","betOrderAmount":50,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.46601518754951643,"commentorPositionShares":1334.3346934711353,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":4},{"id":"4tytpiix8xh","isApi":false,"userId":"LovJp5Rp2FYMPd03cgEMjsSsKhO2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"2025-12-23: JSONP","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Gustavo Silva","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766448260873,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"silva95gustavo","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocId9d7N6D5_Ga6MEijVmPQ4Gcs3GybcWmcFtUQKjZwmyoQ=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.4800000000000002,"commentorPositionShares":3335.220425740325,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"94vwn8gqsd","isApi":false,"userId":"Dnd4nISskVOAwBs1jXNsPqVTQ5y1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/22/2025: JOLON","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Steve","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766447510372,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"StevetptC8","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FStevetptC8%2F5EOtLNqRO0.jpg?alt=media&token=19c07920-3aa8-498a-a3d0-0c0034f44686","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"makxbd06bw","isApi":false,"userId":"lvwJK6kONpQtX09zJV4fhj2RNDI3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"nf6tzv143o","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" AI can generate thousands of valid answers for this puzzle. That's how it works. We have to profile Ben's psychology to identify the ","type":"text"},{"text":"one","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}]},{"text":" true solution among the many that exist.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"1$ bets","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766445754075,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"1bets","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJkNCtIZBrKGNPgZq_yWAuDgpImlchlDaSMoMHwRmDl_Zz6b2nyEw=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"to196b8113s","commentorPositionProb":0.4800000000000002,"commentorPositionShares":0.852229604060783,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"nf6tzv143o","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"9yi9zqvyeo","label":"1bets"}},{"text":" I did not need to use AI for 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One more hint for N***** pls","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"1$ bets","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766435863430,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766435812236,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"1bets","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJkNCtIZBrKGNPgZq_yWAuDgpImlchlDaSMoMHwRmDl_Zz6b2nyEw=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"to196b8113s","commentorPositionProb":0.4799119634173229,"commentorPositionShares":0.852229604060783,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"z6lldta46mq","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I don't know what the top option means. For the second one, I think the coastal theme is consistent with all the non-IPA clues. But I don't think there is any deeper meaning beyond that. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766434666634,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4hg4djzl60m","commentorPositionProb":0.4799119634173229,"commentorPositionShares":11582.632394458562,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"1com75hskga","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"fulm5ngd0pf","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"image","attrs":{"alt":null,"src":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FsIC25IdZhS.png?alt=media&token=e36a406c-c07b-4899-8939-26560ab7c04d","title":null}},{"type":"paragraph"}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766434566400,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4hg4djzl60m","commentorPositionProb":0.4799119634173229,"commentorPositionShares":12639.102727709665,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"fulm5ngd0pf","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"4hg4djzl60m","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" Go bet in the other market please","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766434501621,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4hg4djzl60m","commentorPositionProb":0.4799119634173229,"commentorPositionShares":12639.102727709665,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"4hg4djzl60m","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"At this point I think looking for a semantic link between these clues is a wild goose chase. 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This was a good guess. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766426057223,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"5951rl469dh","commentorPositionProb":0.49,"commentorPositionShares":4.333e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"18zlly1fr93","isApi":false,"userId":"L17rUcfJiQfo420d92MELuCrGH63","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/22/25: SKIBIDI (following the thoughtpath that the red herring is the 5 letter limit)","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"epic","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766425448999,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"epic","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJT0t3lzf88Jvzg0gNUp3VBEieplf9ccEL6lp5oWFd97TLqrM0=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49,"commentorPositionShares":1421.4628794225587,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"mho6hif44ur","isApi":false,"userId":"FKibRpvWR2XYmZBxr4Rd3ZHDVQs2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/22/25: CINCO","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Andrew Keen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766423441362,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"AndrewKeen","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI1jxXAhlZaNEzMNln3TT_-JNpU4QP8N1ALK4XUTfZM7_w8_Q=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.48000000000000004,"commentorPositionShares":1.905e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"hlnho7q54ik","isApi":false,"userId":"Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/22/25: fonts","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"nikki","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766423152019,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"nikki","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FGerardDimon%2FGBapwren82.png?alt=media&token=e135f197-71f2-49af-83b3-20f4f646b970","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"26vhpupqz62","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Steve made a multi market but didn't post it. Go put your mana where your mouth is and add your best theories!!","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"contract-mention","attrs":{"id":"OPqQyR5lSl","label":"/StevetptC8/what-will-be-true-of-the-hints-to-b"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766421520245,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.4900000000000002,"commentorPositionShares":12639.102727709665,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"o6wfeo4eflg","isApi":false,"userId":"RnhlG5AHFgf9yOpvbmfmU9x2wEy2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/22/25: JUNTA","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"bluewater16","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766420922548,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bluewater16","userAvatarUrl":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/user-images/05URLR25.png","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.4900000000000002,"commentorPositionShares":98.1601350199885,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"0cx2dsp2h4hm","isApi":false,"userId":"Dnd4nISskVOAwBs1jXNsPqVTQ5y1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"39speqqclz5","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" Thanks for the idea! I created a market around this idea. We will see if I am in over my head or not :|.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"}]},"userName":"Steve","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766420451666,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"StevetptC8","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FStevetptC8%2F5EOtLNqRO0.jpg?alt=media&token=19c07920-3aa8-498a-a3d0-0c0034f44686","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4hflcl5ry2a","likes":1},{"id":"whyfj6co9uo","isApi":false,"userId":"uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12-22-25: BARCA","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MachiNi","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766405740335,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MachiNi","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNicoDelon%2FGEAVsj5YYL.png?alt=media&token=869ac619-c18c-4648-b7d0-430cf8822ebb","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.4948465569443316,"commentorPositionShares":2508.297544182636,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"vlwyblc96p","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"09zjwvsdi5g","label":"EvdZ"}},{"text":" I think you are on to something here. The answer is however known to be from the set of 26 letters. Are there any that don't have an upside down version?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766401644445,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"09zjwvsdi5g","likes":1},{"id":"paucxm16oh","isApi":false,"userId":"BvTTIZAxIkbu7pLV8Rq3FyM3L2v1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"22 12 25 cofeu","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Aleksandr M.","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766403373593,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766400264895,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"AleksandrM","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtdzC8kCfiUtsAlYMjuhArtr1DJcDLxxU9t7qGknTiLM=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.47063556029234316,"commentorPositionShares":1255.083100353433,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"09zjwvsdi5g","isApi":false,"userId":"qnf92HJfREYnF6we7EYaqA5pBTq2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"snɔoɟ (22/12/2025)","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"EvdZ","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766395123736,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766395107153,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"EvdZ","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FEvdZ%2Fz5OzO0gs6I.png?alt=media&token=011fa0e2-82e9-437d-a819-baa9776be8a1","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":3},{"id":"pssne9mnv1l","isApi":false,"userId":"Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/21/25 Bahia","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"nikki","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766390344098,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"nikki","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FGerardDimon%2FGBapwren82.png?alt=media&token=e135f197-71f2-49af-83b3-20f4f646b970","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":2},{"id":"v51oo4zhmw","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"ai6e8jeagdq","label":"1bets"}},{"text":" C'est la vie. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766390265075,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"uuqat8uu9qj","commentorPositionProb":0.4932636237522156,"commentorPositionShares":4.333e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"ai6e8jeagdq","isApi":false,"userId":"lvwJK6kONpQtX09zJV4fhj2RNDI3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"uuqat8uu9qj","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" Ben marked it wrong","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"1$ bets","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766390188548,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"1bets","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJkNCtIZBrKGNPgZq_yWAuDgpImlchlDaSMoMHwRmDl_Zz6b2nyEw=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"uuqat8uu9qj","commentorPositionProb":0.4932636237522156,"commentorPositionShares":0.852229604060783,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"arihrxsamb9","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"h5giyh8grqh","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" Sue me.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766382746721,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"uuqat8uu9qj","commentorPositionProb":0.4731622086099667,"commentorPositionShares":10.596699221505242,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"h5giyh8grqh","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"ean0fge77rj","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" There should be a rule that if you feel confident about an answer, you trade on it in a derivative market first -- that way everyone else can get rich.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766382722188,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"uuqat8uu9qj","commentorPositionProb":0.4731622086099667,"commentorPositionShares":12639.102727709665,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":4},{"id":"ean0fge77rj","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"This is the most confident I've ever felt about an answer.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 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🫘","betAmount":5,"betOutcome":"YES","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766382655044,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","betOrderAmount":5,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.4731622086099667,"commentorPositionShares":10.596699221505242,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"39speqqclz5","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"4hflcl5ry2a","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" I went through the clues again and here are some starters, you might find great value by letting traders trade on these, since the entire point of the site is to predict things. I bet some people would put more money down on these sub-questions than the main question.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I tried to add from a variety of themes people have posted about, like fish sauce, water, coastal, etc.  I tried to leave out a couple threads that people seem to have given up on.  Someone who is good at running markets and handling resolutions could probably make good trader bonuses here.","type":"text"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"Or maybe predicting does not work in this case.....","type":"text"},{"type":"hardBreak"}]},{"type":"bulletList","content":[{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"anything on the path to the answer relates to fish, peixe, fish sauce or fermented fish","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"the final answer is a word directly related to fish, water or coastal areas on its own (not just through clues)","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"any relation to the Port of ","type":"text"},{"text":"Setúbal","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"code"}]},{"text":" or the Port of 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AAAAZ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Bayesian","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766368444777,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Bayesian","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBayesian%2FZkuJDsEcaR.png?alt=media&token=007b04d0-7859-4fb3-ab4b-99938a8b4ab3","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":3.91463e-12,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"r28e0kpx4xl","isApi":false,"userId":"uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"1489axa28ou","label":"onetwelve"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"},{"text":"https://manifold.markets/bens/will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle?tab=comments#fylcxfo81e4","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://manifold.markets/bens/will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle?tab=comments#fylcxfo81e4","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]}]}]},"userName":"MachiNi","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766368392393,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MachiNi","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNicoDelon%2FGEAVsj5YYL.png?alt=media&token=869ac619-c18c-4648-b7d0-430cf8822ebb","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my 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In the future, if you do make multiple / ambiguous guess I'll have to ignore the comment","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766367953128,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"iuy47hsobb","likes":0},{"id":"0hznat06yhe","isApi":false,"userId":"EHt2AQrKjMO4BdT8NI94VSOLmYw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"TORUS  22 12 2225","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Yasiz","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766367899111,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ArbaniYasiz","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FCancelTheBorders%2FgypRINEcyN.png?alt=media&token=4a7cdd2c-1c9a-40c5-a613-0d429cf5a388","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":52.46823613824199,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"5cmq3clzip","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"iuy47hsobb","label":"onetwelve"}},{"text":" you only get one guess not two, and also your account has been suspected of being operated by the same person who operates another account so you better 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","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MachiNi","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766354656266,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MachiNi","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNicoDelon%2FGEAVsj5YYL.png?alt=media&token=869ac619-c18c-4648-b7d0-430cf8822ebb","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"75hhd5p3w8","commentorPositionProb":0.48999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":1898.4774179540345,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"k4ci8l9mt3o","isApi":false,"userId":"sNYJvyKBGxTEjvFWQ8AzV4SGIC92","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"[VPP] = Voiced palatal plosive = [U+025F]","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"✓","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766354650290,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NorthShoreAwesome","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMyDreamIsHere2018%2F0Qc2UULRt2.jpg?alt=media&token=cef3c3a9-6578-4b85-8e8a-3deee8d8e3c4","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.48999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":-8.4e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"prb2wujljwj","isApi":false,"userId":"sNYJvyKBGxTEjvFWQ8AzV4SGIC92","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"35ivwbl6ypn","label":"bens"}},{"text":" Period","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Used when the symbol has a linguistic or grammatical role:","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"End of a sentence","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"✓","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766354159603,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NorthShoreAwesome","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMyDreamIsHere2018%2F0Qc2UULRt2.jpg?alt=media&token=cef3c3a9-6578-4b85-8e8a-3deee8d8e3c4","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"75hhd5p3w8","commentorPositionProb":0.48999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":-8.4e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"mpillagb0y","betId":"zyduds8PuRhn","isApi":false,"userId":"uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"ep76l85eclt","label":"MyDreamIsHere2018"}},{"text":" good points","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2","userName":"MachiNi","betAmount":0,"betOutcome":"NO","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766353916862,"betLimitProb":0.53,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MachiNi","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNicoDelon%2FGEAVsj5YYL.png?alt=media&token=869ac619-c18c-4648-b7d0-430cf8822ebb","betOrderAmount":50,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"75hhd5p3w8","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":1898.4774179540345,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"35ivwbl6ypn","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"ygz3q23mxok","label":"MachiNi"}},{"text":" I mean, the character In that clue is indeed a period.  I can’t comment on the meaning of it of course","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766353623749,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"75hhd5p3w8","likes":1},{"id":"7apmpsyl5qf","isApi":false,"userId":"sNYJvyKBGxTEjvFWQ8AzV4SGIC92","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"jzkyj0d8ddb","label":"bens"}},{"text":" 21.12.2025: GIVEN","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"✓","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766353400255,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NorthShoreAwesome","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMyDreamIsHere2018%2F0Qc2UULRt2.jpg?alt=media&token=cef3c3a9-6578-4b85-8e8a-3deee8d8e3c4","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"nioot16j6w","commentorPositionProb":0.4926024402661112,"commentorPositionShares":-8.4e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"ep76l85eclt","isApi":false,"userId":"sNYJvyKBGxTEjvFWQ8AzV4SGIC92","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"ygz3q23mxok","label":"MachiNi"}},{"text":" same as herring. I think it depends on creator's ethnicity.  If he is British,  Auzzy, Indian or SouthAfrican.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"If he is Brazilian,  the logic may be opposite to German","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Instruction marker","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Some believe the dot marks:","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"a start / stop point","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"a null marker (ignore next symbol)","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"a change in cipher method","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"In classical ciphers, a dot can mean:","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"> “Interpret the next symbols differently","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"}]},"userName":"✓","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766353340094,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NorthShoreAwesome","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMyDreamIsHere2018%2F0Qc2UULRt2.jpg?alt=media&token=cef3c3a9-6578-4b85-8e8a-3deee8d8e3c4","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"75hhd5p3w8","commentorPositionProb":0.4926024402661112,"commentorPositionShares":-8.4e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"jzkyj0d8ddb","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"lyvv1zafhal","label":"phenomist"}},{"text":" I mean, sure, once the answer is given I'm happy to explain the puzzle","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766353062668,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"nioot16j6w","likes":0},{"id":"fxtxwcx5055","isApi":false,"userId":"sNYJvyKBGxTEjvFWQ8AzV4SGIC92","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"mzgd5hki4r","label":"bens"}},{"text":" if there is any logic  , LLM models might be able to solve it","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"✓","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766353026543,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NorthShoreAwesome","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMyDreamIsHere2018%2F0Qc2UULRt2.jpg?alt=media&token=cef3c3a9-6578-4b85-8e8a-3deee8d8e3c4","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"nv8ly8daphd","commentorPositionProb":0.4926024402661112,"commentorPositionShares":-8.4e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"53zwhx9r9pi","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Hint 17: [U+025F]","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766352975046,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":4},{"id":"mzgd5hki4r","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"nv8ly8daphd","label":"MyDreamIsHere2018"}},{"text":" if I thought this puzzle was trivially solvable by AI, there wouldn't really be a point in running a market on it, would there be?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766352929590,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"nv8ly8daphd","likes":1},{"id":"327sqd0e1j8","isApi":false,"userId":"sNYJvyKBGxTEjvFWQ8AzV4SGIC92","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"8mfrbozmge9","label":"bens"}},{"text":" Does this answer have any actual sense, or is it just a random string of letters?","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"}]},"userName":"✓","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766352744359,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766352689960,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NorthShoreAwesome","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMyDreamIsHere2018%2F0Qc2UULRt2.jpg?alt=media&token=cef3c3a9-6578-4b85-8e8a-3deee8d8e3c4","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"eoxsz0nhe2","commentorPositionProb":0.4926024402661112,"commentorPositionShares":-8.4e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"ygz3q23mxok","isApi":false,"userId":"uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"otj2i4iap77","label":"MyDreamIsHere2018"}},{"text":" it looks like one?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MachiNi","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766352683111,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MachiNi","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNicoDelon%2FGEAVsj5YYL.png?alt=media&token=869ac619-c18c-4648-b7d0-430cf8822ebb","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"75hhd5p3w8","commentorPositionProb":0.4926024402661112,"commentorPositionShares":1320.6028922004573,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"otj2i4iap77","isApi":false,"userId":"sNYJvyKBGxTEjvFWQ8AzV4SGIC92","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"75hhd5p3w8","label":"MachiNi"}},{"text":" what makes you believe this is a period","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"✓","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766352588830,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NorthShoreAwesome","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMyDreamIsHere2018%2F0Qc2UULRt2.jpg?alt=media&token=cef3c3a9-6578-4b85-8e8a-3deee8d8e3c4","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"75hhd5p3w8","commentorPositionProb":0.4926024402661112,"commentorPositionShares":-8.4e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"nv8ly8daphd","isApi":false,"userId":"sNYJvyKBGxTEjvFWQ8AzV4SGIC92","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"If Ai Can't figure that out, are there any timetravellers or mind readers here?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"✓","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766352544915,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NorthShoreAwesome","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMyDreamIsHere2018%2F0Qc2UULRt2.jpg?alt=media&token=cef3c3a9-6578-4b85-8e8a-3deee8d8e3c4","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.4926024402661112,"commentorPositionShares":-8.4e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"arw04addf7n","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"75hhd5p3w8","label":"MachiNi"}},{"text":" Closest I got is ","type":"text"},{"text":"Portugal. The Man","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://portugaltheman.com/","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766352041420,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"75hhd5p3w8","commentorPositionProb":0.4926024402661112,"commentorPositionShares":12935.027220822914,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"75hhd5p3w8","isApi":false,"userId":"uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Guys, ‘Somerton.’ is the only hint including a period. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MachiNi","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766351376816,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MachiNi","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNicoDelon%2FGEAVsj5YYL.png?alt=media&token=869ac619-c18c-4648-b7d0-430cf8822ebb","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.4926024402661112,"commentorPositionShares":1320.6028922004573,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"lyvv1zafhal","isApi":false,"userId":"Iu2wB6W0h1VCXCXLhrktJ7ZkKxk1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"hr4irj16vce","label":"bens"}},{"text":" would the answer have an explanation 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⭐","betAmount":15,"betOutcome":"NO","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766336214939,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","betOrderAmount":15,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49256362358838834,"commentorPositionShares":11916.063125305787,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"jm1ruudbbv","betId":"6hNh6uUpqZnP","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Don't you want to get a hint?","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"VmkjWKX3YVQeBNT03KdC4KON1o92","userName":"It's Me ⭐","betAmount":100,"betOutcome":"YES","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766335893453,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","betOrderAmount":100,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":0},{"id":"8mfrbozmge9","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"eoxsz0nhe2","label":"MRME"}},{"text":" no it’s not case sensitive ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766335299903,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"eoxsz0nhe2","likes":1},{"id":"s3fk8quggp","isApi":false,"userId":"L17rUcfJiQfo420d92MELuCrGH63","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/21/25 cruci","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"epic","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766334477241,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"epic","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJT0t3lzf88Jvzg0gNUp3VBEieplf9ccEL6lp5oWFd97TLqrM0=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":1421.4628794225587,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"eoxsz0nhe2","isApi":false,"userId":"s6XvPq9CXLhiMIE3hLtGOOgM18C2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","label":"bens"}},{"text":" maybe this is stupid, but is the answer case sensitive? I don’t think you’ve said either way but maybe I’ve just missed your response.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MR ME","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766331523771,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MRME","userAvatarUrl":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/user-images/Z6cQupR0.png","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":0},{"id":"hr4irj16vce","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"nioot16j6w","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"},{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" I haven’t figured out the answer yet.  When y’all submit guesses, I evaluate each one independently based on how much I like the submission on three categories (Strength, Intelligence, Likability)","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Joking of course.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"The answer was not hashed but there is in fact an answer.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"if you fail, I think I’d create a short market like “Would Manifold have gotten the answer if they’d received a hint each day?” or something, to give ppl one more attempt, but I will provide the answer, yes.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766330704858,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"nioot16j6w","likes":2},{"id":"2g8u9hv8n5n","isApi":false,"userId":"7ThKGd47IBVpnb3EUowsNO6wuFi1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"How hard is this puzzle 😭 ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Lilemont","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766326365024,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Lilemont","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJrTeArQI6iJ6PYVqowgK7-AquYaSiS9yRsdG1X4YDImw_2Y4xP=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my 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If I get a heads up, all I intend to do is buy up/down linked markets sucking up liquidity.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Basically, I’m just asking for a head start on sniping closing value.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MR ME","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766196552104,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MRME","userAvatarUrl":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/user-images/Z6cQupR0.png","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"v6dv9aqr7d","likes":0},{"id":"8qnbtjvty97","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"contract-mention","attrs":{"id":"A52ZncnqQE","label":"/Eliza/bounty-for-whoever-guesses-the-corr"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"If anyone wants to contribute to a solving bounty, I have established a fund here. If the puzzle is not solved I will distribute it back to you.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766195709724,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.4947886102118977,"commentorPositionShares":13359.420230739668,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"1gbk6ezpp5e","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"qs38exgf8yc","label":"MRME"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"},{"type":"contract-mention","attrs":{"id":"A52ZncnqQE","label":"/Eliza/bounty-for-whoever-guesses-the-corr"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"You can get paid off here, no need to make everyone victims in some kind of weird scheme.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766195675917,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"v6dv9aqr7d","commentorPositionProb":0.4947886102118977,"commentorPositionShares":13359.420230739668,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"83wl3yptzbe","isApi":false,"userId":"lvwJK6kONpQtX09zJV4fhj2RNDI3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"y77uvhthj5g","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" need to check all of lower probability options - our secret guess can be wrong","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"1$ bets","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766195220021,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"1bets","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJkNCtIZBrKGNPgZq_yWAuDgpImlchlDaSMoMHwRmDl_Zz6b2nyEw=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"v6dv9aqr7d","commentorPositionProb":0.4947886102118977,"commentorPositionShares":416.1831306456871,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"y77uvhthj5g","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"qs38exgf8yc","label":"MRME"}},{"text":" how about instead of weird stuff we just do it the straightforward way. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766195118868,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"v6dv9aqr7d","commentorPositionProb":0.4947886102118977,"commentorPositionShares":13359.420230739668,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"q1ki7e3eg8b","isApi":false,"userId":"LovJp5Rp2FYMPd03cgEMjsSsKhO2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"2025-12-19: BEACH","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Gustavo Silva","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766193862532,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766193845924,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"silva95gustavo","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocId9d7N6D5_Ga6MEijVmPQ4Gcs3GybcWmcFtUQKjZwmyoQ=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":3979.6063167525363,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"vde59hrtla","isApi":false,"userId":"lvwJK6kONpQtX09zJV4fhj2RNDI3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/20/2025: POP3S","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"1$ bets","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766193125664,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766193115636,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"1bets","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJkNCtIZBrKGNPgZq_yWAuDgpImlchlDaSMoMHwRmDl_Zz6b2nyEw=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":416.1831306456871,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"bjqmn9vbavk","isApi":false,"userId":"lvwJK6kONpQtX09zJV4fhj2RNDI3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/19/2025: ","type":"text"},{"text":"HTTPS","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]}]}]},"userName":"1$ bets","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766192943647,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"1bets","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJkNCtIZBrKGNPgZq_yWAuDgpImlchlDaSMoMHwRmDl_Zz6b2nyEw=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49378487977477326,"commentorPositionShares":416.1831306456871,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"xs12rgbqrt","isApi":false,"userId":"lvwJK6kONpQtX09zJV4fhj2RNDI3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"ozm9t2phl8c","label":"1bets"}},{"text":" we need 3 more guesses ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"1st letter is N like nueva","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"1$ bets","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766194948960,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766192716034,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"1bets","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJkNCtIZBrKGNPgZq_yWAuDgpImlchlDaSMoMHwRmDl_Zz6b2nyEw=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"ozm9t2phl8c","commentorPositionProb":0.49378487977477326,"commentorPositionShares":416.1831306456871,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"pgtwo1a07s","isApi":false,"userId":"lvwJK6kONpQtX09zJV4fhj2RNDI3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"sfnb1d4wsd8","label":"MachiNi"}},{"text":" exactly, we all do the same probably","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"1$ bets","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766192591930,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"1bets","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJkNCtIZBrKGNPgZq_yWAuDgpImlchlDaSMoMHwRmDl_Zz6b2nyEw=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"v6dv9aqr7d","commentorPositionProb":0.49378487977477326,"commentorPositionShares":416.1831306456871,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"sfnb1d4wsd8","isApi":false,"userId":"uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"v6dv9aqr7d","label":"MRME"}},{"text":" why don’t you give us your guess by DM so we can inside trade? Do you want us to pay you too?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MachiNi","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766192283174,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MachiNi","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNicoDelon%2FGEAVsj5YYL.png?alt=media&token=869ac619-c18c-4648-b7d0-430cf8822ebb","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"v6dv9aqr7d","commentorPositionProb":0.49378487977477326,"commentorPositionShares":1083.6597242196774,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"sgjnqxotyyc","isApi":false,"userId":"uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"aw9lrr8b4ll","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" it looks like it hasn’t been tried. Weird. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Note that ‘hamlet’ was not capitalized. The Shakespeare reference may be a red herring. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MachiNi","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766192179436,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MachiNi","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNicoDelon%2FGEAVsj5YYL.png?alt=media&token=869ac619-c18c-4648-b7d0-430cf8822ebb","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my 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missing letters are:","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" ","type":"text"},{"text":"F, J, K, Q, W, X, Y","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]}]}]},"userName":"1$ bets","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766217942061,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766192097870,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"1bets","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJkNCtIZBrKGNPgZq_yWAuDgpImlchlDaSMoMHwRmDl_Zz6b2nyEw=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49378487977477326,"commentorPositionShares":416.1831306456871,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"0ypn0dnmez7","isApi":false,"userId":"lvwJK6kONpQtX09zJV4fhj2RNDI3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"iq1bl1lujb","label":"bens"}},{"text":" SHAKE","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"1$ 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Heinz","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Yasiz","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766191668640,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ArbaniYasiz","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FCancelTheBorders%2FgypRINEcyN.png?alt=media&token=4a7cdd2c-1c9a-40c5-a613-0d429cf5a388","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49378487977477326,"commentorPositionShares":48.39083798994329,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"zif7xk2tzg","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Except for the bracket clues, everything can be tied back to the coastal theme","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Portugal -> coastal country","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"harbor -> obvious","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Nazareth -> second Google result gives a band which is based in Fife, Scotland which is on the coast","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"9gag -> based in Hong Kong, which is on the coast","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"herring -> type of fish","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Setubal -> coastal city","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Presidente -> first Google result gives a brand of beer made in Dominican Republic","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Santos -> coastal city","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"9lives -> first result gives a rapper who is from Hawke's Bay, New Zealand","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Somerton -> coastal city","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Peru -> coastal country","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"hamlet -> the Shakespeare play takes place in Denmark","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766189884684,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my 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puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"v6dv9aqr7d","likes":0},{"id":"9wtg8tfp1nl","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"ywg7ptdwqm","label":"MRME"}},{"text":" No risk, no glory.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766189496791,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"v6dv9aqr7d","commentorPositionProb":0.49378487977477326,"commentorPositionShares":13359.420230739668,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"aw9lrr8b4ll","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Did nobody try beach? That seems like an obvious guess","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766189434433,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49378487977477326,"commentorPositionShares":12475.111517308556,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"ywg7ptdwqm","isApi":false,"userId":"s6XvPq9CXLhiMIE3hLtGOOgM18C2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"bwc1tbejry","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" because I can’t afford to be wrong. 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If I get it right could I request a heads up via DM for an hour or so that way I can inside trade some derivative markets?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MR ME","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766188119384,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766188071485,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MRME","userAvatarUrl":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/user-images/Z6cQupR0.png","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"5r956dpw7px","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/20/25: ALDEA","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766181220275,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.4925636235883882,"commentorPositionShares":1717.0388287571723,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"egnk23xeruw","isApi":false,"userId":"FKibRpvWR2XYmZBxr4Rd3ZHDVQs2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/19/25: NATAL","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Andrew Keen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766180285047,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"AndrewKeen","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI1jxXAhlZaNEzMNln3TT_-JNpU4QP8N1ALK4XUTfZM7_w8_Q=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.4925636235883882,"commentorPositionShares":2999.9862093961137,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"dob9o9yszbg","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"19.12.25 bagre","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766177127381,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.4925636235883882,"commentorPositionShares":12475.111517308556,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"tkphzno74oa","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Maybe this is a way of grouping the clues together. So ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"{Portugal, Peru, Presidente} -> Spanish/Portuguese?","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"{harbor, herring, hamlet} -> fishing?","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"{9gag, 9lives} -> cats?","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"{[VPP], [O-MBRV], [L-MBRV]} -> phonology?","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"{Nazareth, Nazca} -> ancient?","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"{Setubal, Santos, Somerton} -> coastal cities?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766255072942,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766175468524,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"cvl215n6a4","commentorPositionProb":0.4925636235883882,"commentorPositionShares":12475.111517308556,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"r9bsocgqxt9","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"cvl215n6a4","label":"silva95gustavo"}},{"text":" this is interesting. Since the clues are so scattered semantically, it does make sense that there's something in the syntax that we need to look for.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766175098709,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"cvl215n6a4","commentorPositionProb":0.4925636235883882,"commentorPositionShares":12475.111517308556,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"klyc9v7r0fc","isApi":false,"userId":"x73wWy2U8XhUPk1y1yJBGYd16Mk1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"h29uunpa596","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" well that is true, but still, 3 words that start with \"h\" and all three are lower case. That might be intentional.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Pancarré","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766174814974,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Pancarre","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FPancarre%2FdC59sN0Ugg.jpg?alt=media&token=5388b2a8-76b4-41a9-89c7-a9b9c7e52d72","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"cvl215n6a4","commentorPositionProb":0.4925636235883882,"commentorPositionShares":2040.5739164821384,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"h29uunpa596","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"1i51pisqsfu","label":"silva95gustavo"}},{"text":" The clues are created by a human, they're not random.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766172475163,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"cvl215n6a4","commentorPositionProb":0.4925789634027015,"commentorPositionShares":16283.124445432328,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"1i51pisqsfu","isApi":false,"userId":"LovJp5Rp2FYMPd03cgEMjsSsKhO2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"l5k2l18drp","label":"MachiNi"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I ran a simulation with 1 million runs to see what the expected number of different first chars would be if we picked letters at random.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Let's ignore the \"[\" and \"9\". We end up with 4 different first chars in our puzzle (\"P\", \"h\", \"N\" and \"S\").","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"For this simulation I've considered the frequency that each letter appears as first letter of words in english text. Then I counted how many different first letters we get in each run.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Important to note that:","type":"text"}]},{"type":"bulletList","content":[{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"The simulation considers english first letters although not all hints are english words)","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Case sensitive matters","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"These are the results:","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"{","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"  '3': 5,","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"  '4': 183, // -> Our case","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"  '5': 2837,","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"  '6': 25426,","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"  '7': 119839,","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"  '8': 300659,","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"  '9': 372263,","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"  '10': 178788","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"}","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"So there's about a 0.019% (188 in 1 million) chance of this happening at random. And if you include \"9\" and \"[\" then it's far less likely.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Script: ","type":"text"},{"text":"https://gist.github.com/silva95gustavo/9436e84666da346df161983f55c3207a","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://gist.github.com/silva95gustavo/9436e84666da346df161983f55c3207a","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]}]}]},"userName":"Gustavo Silva","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766169908219,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766169838420,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"silva95gustavo","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocId9d7N6D5_Ga6MEijVmPQ4Gcs3GybcWmcFtUQKjZwmyoQ=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"cvl215n6a4","commentorPositionProb":0.4925789634027015,"commentorPositionShares":3979.6063167525363,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"l5k2l18drp","isApi":false,"userId":"uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"cvl215n6a4","label":"silva95gustavo"}},{"text":" small sample, high variance","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MachiNi","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766167647356,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MachiNi","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNicoDelon%2FGEAVsj5YYL.png?alt=media&token=869ac619-c18c-4648-b7d0-430cf8822ebb","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"cvl215n6a4","commentorPositionProb":0.4925789634027015,"commentorPositionShares":1289.8672072128745,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"s0hkjgcaf8g","isApi":false,"userId":"dp5qoJAOmqgfNGxbRm00x8b9bU03","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"8nfzux43vmg","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" Super helpful. Thanks for sharing","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Mactuary","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766167290924,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Mactuary","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMactuary%2FkyfcaNY7ED.jpeg?alt=media&token=056f660f-81fe-4235-b977-b24dde9fa772","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"tkl3ftoo2ci","commentorPositionProb":0.4925789634027015,"commentorPositionShares":19682.43198824086,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"8nfzux43vmg","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"l2jrrdpx29b","label":"Mactuary"}},{"text":" See this comment with information on how to get a basic comment search: ","type":"text"},{"text":"https://manifold.markets/MachiNi/will-bens-puzzle-be-solved-in-the-l#wrziqu2pu2l","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://manifold.markets/MachiNi/will-bens-puzzle-be-solved-in-the-l#wrziqu2pu2l","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766167182650,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"tkl3ftoo2ci","commentorPositionProb":0.4925789634027015,"commentorPositionShares":16293.627886973816,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"l2jrrdpx29b","isApi":false,"userId":"dp5qoJAOmqgfNGxbRm00x8b9bU03","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"he49edd3a6q","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" I think you’re right. Hard to search comments","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Mactuary","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766166997563,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Mactuary","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMactuary%2FkyfcaNY7ED.jpeg?alt=media&token=056f660f-81fe-4235-b977-b24dde9fa772","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"tkl3ftoo2ci","commentorPositionProb":0.4925789634027015,"commentorPositionShares":19682.43198824086,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"he49edd3a6q","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"tkl3ftoo2ci","label":"Mactuary"}},{"text":" I think that was already guessed a couple weeks ago but you could try the Roman name for it as an island, Acala:","type":"text"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"https://www.troiaresort.pt/en/troia-roman-ruins/","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://www.troiaresort.pt/en/troia-roman-ruins/","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766166939752,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"tkl3ftoo2ci","commentorPositionProb":0.4925789634027015,"commentorPositionShares":16293.627886973816,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"9sp3h2h10y5","isApi":false,"userId":"NBw6afhgmHWb4pqOWvyzYQ9wBJj1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"cvl215n6a4","label":"silva95gustavo"}},{"text":" not sure we have enough data to rule out coincidence but that doesnt mean its not worth looking into given we have many guesses","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Max E 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766166146457,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MaxE","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKF1hmknqZKBlhKD9R4pr0RAWGNU0L7h3Gd_lvrtcY-PgU=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"cvl215n6a4","commentorPositionProb":0.4925789634027015,"commentorPositionShares":1112.3570703213836,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"cvl215n6a4","isApi":false,"userId":"LovJp5Rp2FYMPd03cgEMjsSsKhO2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Have a look at the distribution of first chars in the hints:","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"P: 3","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"h: 3","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"N: 1","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"[: 3","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"9: 2","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"S: 3","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"These counts seem abnormally high. 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","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"h/t ","type":"text"},{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"}]}]},"pinnerId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","userName":"MachiNi","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766265776412,"pinnedTime":1766080841329,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766080682428,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MachiNi","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNicoDelon%2FGEAVsj5YYL.png?alt=media&token=869ac619-c18c-4648-b7d0-430cf8822ebb","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"q3xjrl55g7c","commentorPositionProb":0.49,"commentorPositionShares":689.5007750705904,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":5},{"id":"g39r7bj9aqj","isApi":false,"userId":"y0ZRYqguQQU3W2wD87kFsgT9M4j2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"74zw8ujnngq","label":"AndrewKeen"}},{"text":" whoops","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Pazzaz","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766080577112,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Pazzaz","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FPazzaz%2FcCCIq6CI6z.png?alt=media&token=97d3531e-018e-4229-aa4b-d55372152387","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"5h5bi7n8o0p","commentorPositionProb":0.49,"commentorPositionShares":773.3659494980326,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"74zw8ujnngq","isApi":false,"userId":"FKibRpvWR2XYmZBxr4Rd3ZHDVQs2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"5h5bi7n8o0p","label":"Pazzaz"}},{"text":" That's six letters.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Andrew Keen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766080554744,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"AndrewKeen","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI1jxXAhlZaNEzMNln3TT_-JNpU4QP8N1ALK4XUTfZM7_w8_Q=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my 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puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49,"commentorPositionShares":773.3659494980326,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"vvae8zpm22","isApi":false,"userId":"d6La9emHJsTwmxPOZ2UdSYrlr6I3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"1y9axow3ktqi","label":"bens"}},{"text":" omg my heart when I got a notification for this comment and thought you were responding to a guess 😅😂","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"jcb","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766080157524,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"jcb","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fjcb%2FpaY69J4Um-.jpg?alt=media&token=ba981184-6d55-4dd8-a7a5-4c665c2b9ec8","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"2v2s7sjb6pu","commentorPositionProb":0.49,"commentorPositionShares":3.1e-14,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":5},{"id":"y7fwt0o2ec","isApi":false,"userId":"uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"jpnhonrifro","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" hydra","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MachiNi","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766079865371,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MachiNi","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNicoDelon%2FGEAVsj5YYL.png?alt=media&token=869ac619-c18c-4648-b7d0-430cf8822ebb","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"67h5m7yojdi","commentorPositionProb":0.49,"commentorPositionShares":689.5007750705904,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"m2mlwbd5amr","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"6prwui9lfdq","label":"MachiNi"}},{"text":" That would be a really positive form of collaboration, which was encouraged by the market creator.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"If someone sets up a single clearinghouse post that links to e.g. a different market or page where potential guesses are listed, I bet he would be willing to pin the comment -- he previously showed willingness to pin important comments.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766079901150,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766079852921,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"q3xjrl55g7c","commentorPositionProb":0.49,"commentorPositionShares":17413.59372761509,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"q5dabf9s16a","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Unless it's something to do with this ","type":"text"},{"text":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ship%27s_cat","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ship%27s_cat","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]},{"text":" ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"🤔 ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"linkPreview","attrs":{"id":"0ef8fc15-403d-4388-b6cb-867e2557eb56","url":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ship%27s_cat","image":"https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/54/Captain_A._J._Hailey_in_uniform_with_a_cat_on_the_first_C.P._R.M.S._Empress_of_Canada.jpg/1010px-Captain_A._J._Hailey_in_uniform_with_a_cat_on_the_first_C.P._R.M.S._Empress_of_Canada.jpg","title":"Ship's cat - Wikipedia","inputKey":"comment gPA029Rcyhcomment 67h5m7yojdi","deleteNode":null,"description":null,"deleteCallback":null,"hideCloseButton":false}},{"type":"paragraph"}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766079784319,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"67h5m7yojdi","commentorPositionProb":0.49,"commentorPositionShares":12475.111517308556,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"jpnhonrifro","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"That would explain a lot. But 9gag and 9lives are still out of place.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766079699036,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"67h5m7yojdi","commentorPositionProb":0.49,"commentorPositionShares":12475.111517308556,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"yfysrye5ub8","isApi":false,"userId":"uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"1vett702g8k","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" modified ballistic re-entry vehicles of two different types, maybe. Not sure about VPP, maybe a technical spec.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MachiNi","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766079471700,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MachiNi","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNicoDelon%2FGEAVsj5YYL.png?alt=media&token=869ac619-c18c-4648-b7d0-430cf8822ebb","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"67h5m7yojdi","commentorPositionProb":0.49,"commentorPositionShares":485.4191424175292,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"1y9axow3ktqi","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"wtd16rmile","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" this is correct","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766079222733,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"2v2s7sjb6pu","likes":1},{"id":"1vett702g8k","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"What do they stand for","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766078912928,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"67h5m7yojdi","commentorPositionProb":0.49,"commentorPositionShares":12475.111517308556,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"0l3mgg2wqad","betId":"9htyARAZqpg0","isApi":false,"userId":"rqyVlY3yvaZkXJ51lMa60NlqbOI3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" thanks for market making :)","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","userName":"Ryan McComb","betAmount":0,"betOutcome":"NO","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766078538399,"betLimitProb":0.49,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ryanmccomb","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fryanmccomb%2FshNO8zlpUn.jpeg?alt=media&token=4e2bfe78-04ef-4ce6-9052-d395c9935692","betOrderAmount":500,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"361g1hxlqbq","isApi":false,"userId":"uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"dpsl3ng5x5w","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" so inspiring","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"contract-mention","attrs":{"id":"d6AzgL2IAu","label":"/MachiNi/will-bens-puzzle-be-solved-in-the-l"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MachiNi","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766077402469,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766077360908,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MachiNi","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNicoDelon%2FGEAVsj5YYL.png?alt=media&token=869ac619-c18c-4648-b7d0-430cf8822ebb","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"dpsl3ng5x5w","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":383.3783260909986,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"7kixgf5rwah","isApi":false,"userId":"uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"wtd16rmile","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" got it","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MachiNi","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766076576761,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766076543133,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MachiNi","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNicoDelon%2FGEAVsj5YYL.png?alt=media&token=869ac619-c18c-4648-b7d0-430cf8822ebb","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"2v2s7sjb6pu","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":383.3783260909986,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"wtd16rmile","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"rte92svn98","label":"MachiNi"}},{"text":" he checks and hearts stuff many times per day but only one of those times is the hint time. The pattern has been going on for long enough that it seems clear.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766076346439,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"2v2s7sjb6pu","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":18159.417232197316,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"rte92svn98","isApi":false,"userId":"uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"8823kd2ahke","label":"bens"}},{"text":" I thought the random time was when you checked.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"I will check the market once per day (don't worry if I forget or skip a day, I'm human) at a random-ish time. ","type":"text"},{"text":"If the value of the market is below 50%, I will give a single hint, which I will compile in the description over time. If the value of the market is above 50% (inclusive), I will not give a hint.","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]}]}]}]},"userName":"MachiNi","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766076022860,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766075958549,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MachiNi","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNicoDelon%2FGEAVsj5YYL.png?alt=media&token=869ac619-c18c-4648-b7d0-430cf8822ebb","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"2v2s7sjb6pu","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":383.3783260909986,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"8823kd2ahke","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"va4r9g1eguq","label":"MachiNi"}},{"text":" I do it at a random time each day, whereas I check the market many times per day","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766075032596,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766074996420,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"2v2s7sjb6pu","likes":2},{"id":"va4r9g1eguq","isApi":false,"userId":"uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"mraing7wz4","label":"bens"}},{"text":" you gave the hint after I asked, I asked after you had already checked the market ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MachiNi","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766074419012,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MachiNi","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNicoDelon%2FGEAVsj5YYL.png?alt=media&token=869ac619-c18c-4648-b7d0-430cf8822ebb","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"2v2s7sjb6pu","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":383.3783260909986,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"mraing7wz4","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"2v2s7sjb6pu","label":"MachiNi"}},{"text":" ?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766073682619,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"2v2s7sjb6pu","likes":2},{"id":"p15obg52gyb","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Hint 14: Peru","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766073672981,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":2},{"id":"u0pv67pucg","isApi":false,"userId":"FKibRpvWR2XYmZBxr4Rd3ZHDVQs2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"2v2s7sjb6pu","label":"MachiNi"}},{"text":" Ben didn't like my guess. I must've got it right. (jk)","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Andrew Keen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766075470944,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766073489639,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"AndrewKeen","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI1jxXAhlZaNEzMNln3TT_-JNpU4QP8N1ALK4XUTfZM7_w8_Q=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"2v2s7sjb6pu","commentorPositionProb":0.49,"commentorPositionShares":3687.2224683746117,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"2v2s7sjb6pu","isApi":false,"userId":"uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Why didn’t we get a hint? ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MachiNi","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766072978904,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MachiNi","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNicoDelon%2FGEAVsj5YYL.png?alt=media&token=869ac619-c18c-4648-b7d0-430cf8822ebb","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5051443466753429,"commentorPositionShares":483.3783260909986,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"d6w9ne130za","isApi":false,"userId":"FKibRpvWR2XYmZBxr4Rd3ZHDVQs2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/18/25: NAMES","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Andrew Keen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766069481395,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"AndrewKeen","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI1jxXAhlZaNEzMNln3TT_-JNpU4QP8N1ALK4XUTfZM7_w8_Q=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49,"commentorPositionShares":3647.869526914769,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"xxtaqmhi7x","isApi":false,"userId":"uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"badhyc67wmf","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" I think they’re military/naval acronyms. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MachiNi","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766065711075,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MachiNi","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNicoDelon%2FGEAVsj5YYL.png?alt=media&token=869ac619-c18c-4648-b7d0-430cf8822ebb","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"67h5m7yojdi","commentorPositionProb":0.4899999999999997,"commentorPositionShares":641.3783260909986,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"6prwui9lfdq","isApi":false,"userId":"uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"o1103k553rc","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" are we allowed to leave a list of guesses for others to try in a comment?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MachiNi","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766062240348,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MachiNi","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNicoDelon%2FGEAVsj5YYL.png?alt=media&token=869ac619-c18c-4648-b7d0-430cf8822ebb","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"q3xjrl55g7c","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":840.7072069860068,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"jf27ob8rurg","isApi":false,"userId":"uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"2025-12-18: GHOST","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MachiNi","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766061354650,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MachiNi","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNicoDelon%2FGEAVsj5YYL.png?alt=media&token=869ac619-c18c-4648-b7d0-430cf8822ebb","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":1090.707206986007,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"3fr9xq5jjhs","isApi":false,"userId":"r156R5nBLuPmOseMCikftrmGKvD3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"2025-12-18: PTSET","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Alex","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766047106871,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"a_l_e_x","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fa_l_e_x%2FtPAI8Z2U29.jpg?alt=media&token=2327e3a1-02a4-461e-b986-19136035e0e0","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"o1103k553rc","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"q3xjrl55g7c","label":"JussiVilleHeiskanen"}},{"text":" He specifically told us from the start that it would take 10 or more hints, none of the first hints should be considered particularly useful on their own IMO.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766042876303,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"q3xjrl55g7c","commentorPositionProb":0.49397566652693414,"commentorPositionShares":21517.585827567917,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"7py6qfr7sam","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Thursday:SALUD","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766042806892,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"q3xjrl55g7c","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I have to ask, was Portugal on it's own even theoretically a useful hint, or would it only be considered helpful in conjunction with other hints?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766042606272,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":0},{"id":"pb4uloinlg","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12.18.25 Cadiz ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766042389560,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49397566652693414,"commentorPositionShares":11758.784894106731,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"5c3vc4ux815","isApi":false,"userId":"lvwJK6kONpQtX09zJV4fhj2RNDI3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/18/2026: Codes","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"1$ bets","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766040458943,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"1bets","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJkNCtIZBrKGNPgZq_yWAuDgpImlchlDaSMoMHwRmDl_Zz6b2nyEw=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49397566652693414,"commentorPositionShares":181.13551928072462,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"fhfx7qfsyr","isApi":false,"userId":"lvwJK6kONpQtX09zJV4fhj2RNDI3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"tbe2vq3vf9f","label":"1bets"}},{"text":" gemini: You are remembering a very specific \"internet mystery\" that circulated around 2021/2022, likely titled something like \"My cat food has developer codes instead of an expiration date\" or \"Internet detectives, I need help decoding my cat's dinner.\"","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"While I cannot provide a live link (as 9gag and 4chan threads from that era are often archived or deleted), I can reconstruct the exact post for you so you can find the image or the archive.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"The Search Terms to Find It","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"To find the original image or thread, use these exact search terms on Google Images or Reddit:","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":" * \"VPP\" cat food code","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":" * \"Victorian Petfood Processors\" Somerton","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":" * \"O-MBRV\" cat food","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":" * site:","type":"text"},{"text":"9gag.com","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"http://9gag.com","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]},{"text":" \"Somerton\" cat food","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"The \"Lore\" of the Thread (Why all those words are related)","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Here is the breakdown of the investigation you read, which connects every single word you listed:","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"1. The \"Glitch\" (The Start)","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"A user posted a photo of a can of Homebrand / Woolworths (or misidentified as 9Lives) cat food. Instead of an expiration date, the printer had failed and printed its internal variable placeholders:","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":" * [VPP]","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":" * [O-MBRV]","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":" * [L-MBRV]","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":" * SOMERTON.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"2. The Decode (The \"Autism\")","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"The comment section \"weaponized\" their collective intelligence to doxx the can:","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":" * [VPP] = Identified as Victorian Petfood Processors, the manufacturer located in Somerton, Victoria, Australia.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":" * SOMERTON. = The user noticed the period at the end. The thread concluded this was a database error where the factory address was saved as \"Somerton.\" (with a dot) in the system, and because the variables failed, it printed the static address line with the typo.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"   * The Joke: Users linked this to the Somerton Man (Tamam Shud) mystery, where the code \"It is ended\" was found. The period signified \"The End.\"","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"3. The Origin (The Trace)","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":" * [O-MBRV] = Origin Master Batch Release Version.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":" * Portugal / Setúbal: The Health Mark (e.g., PT C-XXX) on the can proved the fish (Herring) was actually caught and canned in Portugal, specifically in the port city of Setúbal.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":" * Nazareth (Nazaré): The investigation linked the specific cannery code to a company in Nazaré (famous for giant waves and fishing), or a brand called \"Conservas de Nazaré.\"","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"4. The \"Villain\" (Presidente / Santos)","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":" * Santos: The thread traced the logistics/export of that specific batch to a Portuguese company, likely G. Oliveira & C. Santos, Lda. (a real supplier in Setúbal) or a logistics firm named Santos & Vale.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":" * Presidente: This refers to the location or entity involved in the shipping—likely Avenida Presidente (a common street name in Portuguese port cities) or a ship named Presidente [Name] that carried the cargo. The thread jokingly blamed \"Presidente Santos\" for hiding the expiration date to conceal the \"ancient\" herring.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Summary for your Search","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"You are looking for a post about a Victorian Petfood Processors (VPP) can, made in Setúbal, Portugal, distributed from Somerton. (with a period), involving a logistics mix-up with Santos.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"}]},"userName":"1$ bets","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766039783519,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"1bets","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJkNCtIZBrKGNPgZq_yWAuDgpImlchlDaSMoMHwRmDl_Zz6b2nyEw=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"q1lb2n6v61","commentorPositionProb":0.49397566652693414,"commentorPositionShares":181.13551928072462,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"kejakkwv54","isApi":false,"userId":"ogdLVvB7YneqUnxDBGn8Oqqqh4B3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"17/12/25: CHOCO","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Pluto Gaming","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766036771841,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"PlutoGaming","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK6_fYSNZOurYNvExJZY4y5eqKcU9bDokPlJqJAGVd7_r7jPg=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"i2e1abcdnje","betId":"dLlcIuCtRnSz","isApi":false,"userId":"EHt2AQrKjMO4BdT8NI94VSOLmYw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"17/12/2025 PROMO","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"EHt2AQrKjMO4BdT8NI94VSOLmYw2","userName":"Yasiz","betAmount":-0.5040692433610541,"betOutcome":"YES","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766036253899,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ArbaniYasiz","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FCancelTheBorders%2FgypRINEcyN.png?alt=media&token=4a7cdd2c-1c9a-40c5-a613-0d429cf5a388","betOrderAmount":-0.5040692433610541,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5039443803474388,"commentorPositionShares":48.39083798994329,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"6qb8mamvjfi","isApi":false,"userId":"VmkjWKX3YVQeBNT03KdC4KON1o92","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/18/2025: SOUZA","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Q Breezy","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766034933605,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"QBreezy","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4WKCQJD3UGMu5vd-Mrpotn0pOfRMBafA01iB3pLA=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5041941058671436,"commentorPositionShares":4789.678575508959,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"maq959xcz5c","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"The answer could be right even if some of the justifications have loose ends. But to be honest it’s probably not the right answer and I got too excited. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766034868697,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"67h5m7yojdi","commentorPositionProb":0.5041941058671436,"commentorPositionShares":11758.784894106731,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"dtjzpbs2nfm","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"5pybjwr70zc","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" Did you read the justification post? More than half of them were just hand-waving.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766034405742,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"67h5m7yojdi","commentorPositionProb":0.5041941058671436,"commentorPositionShares":21517.585827567917,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"5pybjwr70zc","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Swanson","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"http://wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Swanson","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Then again, Peter is a common name, so these could all be coincidences","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766035127174,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766033926578,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"67h5m7yojdi","commentorPositionProb":0.5041941058671436,"commentorPositionShares":11758.784894106731,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"badhyc67wmf","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Though to be honest I am still skeptical that the bracket clues are anything other than vowel pronunciations.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766033678507,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"67h5m7yojdi","commentorPositionProb":0.5041941058671436,"commentorPositionShares":11758.784894106731,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"uqlneq1fsx","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Why do you think it's wrong? Some of the interpretations are a bit of a stretch, but the last one seems to be convincing ","type":"text"},{"text":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Bergmann_case","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Bergmann_case","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766033482564,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"67h5m7yojdi","commentorPositionProb":0.5041941058671436,"commentorPositionShares":11758.784894106731,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"fd6n52oyc5s","betId":"EZqR0N5uqORh","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"z0t9gb4gg09","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" Don't waste your mana.","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","userName":"Eliza","betAmount":50,"betOutcome":"NO","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766033322410,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","betOrderAmount":50,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"67h5m7yojdi","commentorPositionProb":0.5041941058671436,"commentorPositionShares":21517.585827567917,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"z0t9gb4gg09","betId":"td6C2yc6UySy","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I don't quite get the aircraft clues, but I'm putting my trust in you. If it's right I owe you a hefty cut of the profit.","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","userName":"It's Me ⭐","betAmount":3000,"betOutcome":"YES","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766033146361,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","betOrderAmount":3000,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"67h5m7yojdi","commentorPositionProb":0.5041941058671436,"commentorPositionShares":11758.784894106731,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"wuvdoi2tgob","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"kyo973d3pxq","label":"epic"}},{"text":" I don't know how you get Peter but maybe Pedro would bring it closer to Portugal","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766032787822,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"kyo973d3pxq","commentorPositionProb":0.5034200783914253,"commentorPositionShares":5922.054694945117,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"0ljkc35gn6n","isApi":false,"userId":"L17rUcfJiQfo420d92MELuCrGH63","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"eia2mfggxgt","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" hint 2: peterhead harbor, 3: saint Peter, 4. variable-pitch propeller, typa aviation and Peter is shorthand, 5. Peter Griffin is on 9gag a lot lmao, 6.o-mbrv is a piper aircraft thingie, like Peter Piper, 7. Peter boat is a boat that catches hearing, 8. another aircraft, 9. king Peter of Portugal, 10. lots of presidents named Peter, 11 idk Santos smth I forgot how this related, 12. Peter pan was basically imortal, more than 9 lives, 13 somertan man Peter tthingie","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"epic","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766032786830,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"epic","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJT0t3lzf88Jvzg0gNUp3VBEieplf9ccEL6lp5oWFd97TLqrM0=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"67h5m7yojdi","commentorPositionProb":0.5034200783914253,"commentorPositionShares":1421.4628794225587,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"eia2mfggxgt","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"but wait what does Peter have to do with anything","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766032462422,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"67h5m7yojdi","commentorPositionProb":0.5099999999999999,"commentorPositionShares":5922.054694945117,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"kyo973d3pxq","isApi":false,"userId":"L17rUcfJiQfo420d92MELuCrGH63","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/17/2025: PETER","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"epic","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766032448968,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"epic","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJT0t3lzf88Jvzg0gNUp3VBEieplf9ccEL6lp5oWFd97TLqrM0=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5099999999999999,"commentorPositionShares":1421.4628794225587,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"dufxi35moth","betId":"89UqIL8yUspy","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"image","attrs":{"alt":"Cartoon gif. Peter Griffin from Family Guy stands up in an audience and tears stream down his face as he claps. Everyone around him stares at him in shock but he is undeterred in his emotions.","src":"https://media0.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTVmZjFmMWNhM3k5NXViMWx5d2dlNW1sa3VreGN0M2duN3V2c3c1bW96YmUzdGx1ZCZlcD12MV9naWZzX3NlYXJjaCZjdD1n/3o6Zt3AC93PIPAdQ9a/giphy.gif","title":null}},{"type":"paragraph"}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","userName":"It's Me ⭐","betAmount":1000,"betOutcome":"YES","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766032443890,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","betOrderAmount":1000,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"67h5m7yojdi","commentorPositionProb":0.5099999999999999,"commentorPositionShares":5922.054694945117,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"bb8y7g2vka","isApi":false,"userId":"L17rUcfJiQfo420d92MELuCrGH63","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"qfuqrxpxr9j","label":"epic"}},{"text":" but idk how Peter is related to portugal... everything else can be related I think","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"epic","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766032291649,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"epic","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJT0t3lzf88Jvzg0gNUp3VBEieplf9ccEL6lp5oWFd97TLqrM0=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"67h5m7yojdi","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000002,"commentorPositionShares":1421.4628794225587,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"qfuqrxpxr9j","isApi":false,"userId":"L17rUcfJiQfo420d92MELuCrGH63","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"67h5m7yojdi","label":"epic"}},{"text":" I think its peter","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"epic","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766032253510,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"epic","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJT0t3lzf88Jvzg0gNUp3VBEieplf9ccEL6lp5oWFd97TLqrM0=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"67h5m7yojdi","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000002,"commentorPositionShares":1421.4628794225587,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"67h5m7yojdi","isApi":false,"userId":"L17rUcfJiQfo420d92MELuCrGH63","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"holy wait I think I genuinely might have solved it","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"epic","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766032165914,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"epic","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJT0t3lzf88Jvzg0gNUp3VBEieplf9ccEL6lp5oWFd97TLqrM0=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000002,"commentorPositionShares":1421.4628794225587,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"dpsl3ng5x5w","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Inspired by recent events:","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"contract-mention","attrs":{"id":"Rghsp555Ed","label":"/Eliza/if-bens-puzzle-is-solved-will-the-u"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766031599848,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000002,"commentorPositionShares":21621.128746800376,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"dgwio8xbaog","betId":"UpECA09qIz6z","isApi":false,"userId":"lvwJK6kONpQtX09zJV4fhj2RNDI3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"q1lb2n6v61","label":"1bets"}},{"text":" PROMPT for AI: how all of those may be related: Portugal, harbor, Nazareth, [VPP], 9gag, [O-MBRV], herring, [L-MBRV], Setúbal, Presidente, Santos, 9lives, Somerton. (period after Somerton)","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"lvwJK6kONpQtX09zJV4fhj2RNDI3","userName":"1$ bets","betAmount":5,"betOutcome":"YES","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1766030225586,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766030201663,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"1bets","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJkNCtIZBrKGNPgZq_yWAuDgpImlchlDaSMoMHwRmDl_Zz6b2nyEw=s96-c","betOrderAmount":5,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"q1lb2n6v61","commentorPositionProb":0.4925407114843745,"commentorPositionShares":82.70371544302202,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"cullvnbjzn7","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"4xhn29t6cdq","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" (I was kinda just hoping a minimal amount of effort would be enough activation energy to get someone else to do something like that...)","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766029893150,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"6qyudrsdnmo","commentorPositionProb":0.48999999999999966,"commentorPositionShares":21621.128746800376,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"4xhn29t6cdq","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"ppjef0vhnps","label":"bens"}},{"text":" Don't pin it! If I want to keep it updated I'll put it in a different place that could be linked to. I have no plans to update it at this time.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766029853455,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"6qyudrsdnmo","commentorPositionProb":0.48999999999999966,"commentorPositionShares":21621.128746800376,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"ppjef0vhnps","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"156nbboyxhp","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" I pinned it but uhhh… now there’s an awkward giant scroll before seeing the rest of the comments.  But if you want to edit it to keep it updated, it’s pinned now?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766029808537,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"6qyudrsdnmo","likes":0},{"id":"156nbboyxhp","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"ipsvtwtrvmm","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" It's just really hard to find...","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766029759187,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"6qyudrsdnmo","commentorPositionProb":0.48999999999999966,"commentorPositionShares":21621.128746800376,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"ipsvtwtrvmm","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"a2gx0kazgbv","label":"epic"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"},{"text":"https://manifold.markets/bens/will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle#o15c48efsu9","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://manifold.markets/bens/will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle#o15c48efsu9","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766029738597,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"6qyudrsdnmo","commentorPositionProb":0.48999999999999966,"commentorPositionShares":21621.128746800376,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"a2gx0kazgbv","isApi":false,"userId":"L17rUcfJiQfo420d92MELuCrGH63","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"6qyudrsdnmo","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" could you repost the list? i cant find it when scrolling own lol","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"epic","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766029451087,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"epic","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJT0t3lzf88Jvzg0gNUp3VBEieplf9ccEL6lp5oWFd97TLqrM0=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"6qyudrsdnmo","commentorPositionProb":0.48999999999999966,"commentorPositionShares":1421.4628794225587,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"fj8fz9mvwt","isApi":false,"userId":"d6La9emHJsTwmxPOZ2UdSYrlr6I3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"6qyudrsdnmo","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" I appreciated it, and have referred to it before posting both my guesses since then!","type":"text"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"I'm not shocked that many people are too careless to check it before guessing (welcome to the internet), and more so now that it's already somewhat buried in the comment history.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"jcb","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766024418026,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"jcb","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fjcb%2FpaY69J4Um-.jpg?alt=media&token=ba981184-6d55-4dd8-a7a5-4c665c2b9ec8","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"6qyudrsdnmo","commentorPositionProb":0.49000000000000016,"commentorPositionShares":3.1e-14,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"6qyudrsdnmo","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I feel like posting the list of everything already guessed was a total waste of time and energy. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766021750238,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":22097.108746800375,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"wy6hqu7w2if","isApi":false,"userId":"qIjH5KDOG9WVsa3265yCTICxHjx2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/17/25: PORTS","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Qoiuoiuoiu 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766019955517,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Qoiuoiuoiu","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FQoiuoiuoiu%2FHv7W3eItTx.png?alt=media&token=7bb7237b-1165-4775-92ea-1eb85c642bfa","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":1.1e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"9uif7jb443g","isApi":false,"userId":"LovJp5Rp2FYMPd03cgEMjsSsKhO2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"2025-12-17: OSCAR","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Gustavo Silva","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766016784858,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"silva95gustavo","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocId9d7N6D5_Ga6MEijVmPQ4Gcs3GybcWmcFtUQKjZwmyoQ=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5014962563457196,"commentorPositionShares":3979.6063167525363,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"delj5w8hre","isApi":false,"userId":"L17rUcfJiQfo420d92MELuCrGH63","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"theres only 11 million 5 letter combinations, and we have 14 days. if we get 78 thousand people putting guesses on the market, we'll solve this in no time!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"epic","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766016555865,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"epic","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJT0t3lzf88Jvzg0gNUp3VBEieplf9ccEL6lp5oWFd97TLqrM0=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5014962563457196,"commentorPositionShares":1421.4628794225587,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":4},{"id":"qsqxg4fj9ok","isApi":false,"userId":"Ddm060TkMrbUqyi4jfMQCoOZMdA3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I wish I got free internet points by spamming AI generated content (slop). I aspire to become a clanker lover like ","type":"text"},{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"lvwJK6kONpQtX09zJV4fhj2RNDI3","label":"1bets"}},{"text":"!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"121 🫘 roku nana 𝛊","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766015367559,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"121","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2F121%2FLgnq86zRNg.png?alt=media&token=54be0a38-9af4-474a-b9b5-ba7e5db4a11f","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.4999999999999999,"commentorPositionShares":9.6e-14,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"3y3ai9772hg","isApi":false,"userId":"lvwJK6kONpQtX09zJV4fhj2RNDI3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/18/2025: ERROR","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"1$ 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Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766011450811,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5035084046806614,"commentorPositionShares":1713.070605442371,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"rfg0u13t7rh","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"w8x8yrz9sl8","label":"johnNZOy"}},{"text":" don't waste too many guesses when someone else already guessed the same thing on the same day","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766009798834,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"w8x8yrz9sl8","commentorPositionProb":0.5100000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":22097.108746800375,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"w8x8yrz9sl8","isApi":false,"userId":"kp1baNwv1JavDrOAfdy0tpNU5WB2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/17/2025: TAMAM","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"john 🫘 kyu san 𝛊 ⭐️","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1766008961078,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"johnNZOy","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FjohnNZOy%2FUsEZAquyqu.png?alt=media&token=60d491e9-f6e5-4fc6-b14b-78caa461687e","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000002,"commentorPositionShares":-3e-14,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"tbe2vq3vf9f","isApi":false,"userId":"lvwJK6kONpQtX09zJV4fhj2RNDI3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"junaagje72o","label":"bens"}},{"text":" i asked gemini to reconstruct the 9gag mistery","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"}]},"userName":"1$ 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The printer didn't get the data from the server.\" ","type":"text"},{"text":"User 2:","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" \"What is ","type":"text"},{"text":"[VPP]","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"code"}]},{"text":"?\" ","type":"text"},{"text":"User 3 (The Expert):","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" \"","type":"text"},{"text":"[VPP]","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"code"}]},{"text":" stands for ","type":"text"},{"text":"Variable Print Position","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" or ","type":"text"},{"text":"Victorian Petfood Processors","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":". They are the manufacturer for the store brands. Their main plant is in ","type":"text"},{"text":"Somerton","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":", Victoria.\"","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"User 4 (The Eagle Eye):","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" \"Why is there a period at the end of Somerton? It says ","type":"text"},{"text":"SOMERTON.","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"code"}]},{"text":"\" ","type":"text"},{"text":"User 5:","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" \"That's a database error. The address field in their system is probably entered as 'Somerton.' (with the dot) to separate it from the postcode, but the variable failed so it just printed the static city name with the typo.\" ","type":"text"},{"text":"User 6:","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" \"Wait, ","type":"text"},{"text":"Somerton.","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"code"}]},{"text":"? Like the ","type":"text"},{"text":"Somerton Man","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":"? 'It is ended'?\" ","type":"text"},{"text":"User 7:","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" \"Tamam Shud. The cat has run out of lives. This is the new Somerton Code.\"","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"User 8 (The Tracer):","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" \"Forget the period. Look at the Health Mark on the rim. It says ","type":"text"},{"text":"PT C-XXX","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":". ","type":"text"},{"text":"PT","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"code"}]},{"text":" is ","type":"text"},{"text":"Portugal","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":".\" ","type":"text"},{"text":"User 9:","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" \"I checked the code. The cannery is in ","type":"text"},{"text":"Setúbal","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":". 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The ship dock is near ","type":"text"},{"text":"Avenida Presidente","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" [Street Name].\" ","type":"text"},{"text":"User 12 (The Meme):","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" \"So ","type":"text"},{"text":"Presidente Santos","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" is hoarding the expiration dates? 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Everyone should be using all their good guesses every day. That's some good info!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765958430708,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"0daissbf7j","commentorPositionProb":0.4915259225010439,"commentorPositionShares":22197.508642827277,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"paswkkcz5s8","isApi":false,"userId":"A2d3FKnqE9QW2TBUrhJ2jz6Xx2B2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"},{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" 9Lives is a cat food brand (among other things).","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I was very happy with SODIO (Portuguese for sodium), given the two different mid back rounded vowels (so far as I know), the Portuguese references, and the ocean (and cat food!) references that could evoke saltiness. Now I am sad.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nathan Metzger","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1765957457870,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765957201659,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Haiku","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIjQXIf2njmqzMlFcCjvPdfMG5FDqrDo0mBzTJvO376IoJisHdf=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"0daissbf7j","commentorPositionProb":0.4915259225010439,"commentorPositionShares":3e-14,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"hpwadosygee","isApi":false,"userId":"ogdLVvB7YneqUnxDBGn8Oqqqh4B3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"16/12/25: BAIXO","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Pluto Gaming","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765947860106,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"PlutoGaming","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK6_fYSNZOurYNvExJZY4y5eqKcU9bDokPlJqJAGVd7_r7jPg=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"jjmzmin0g58","isApi":false,"userId":"W40BkHvefUQueUSaQ2VJA2ismCl2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/16/25 ANGRA","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"dslof","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765944722717,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"dslof","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJweMTnNoT7YEBSNAl0ssxaP4gwUxJjVtHLe-cdExEoPmkn3g=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.504233613075356,"commentorPositionShares":579.4023540748337,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"82h4hkv0e1j","isApi":false,"userId":"Iu2wB6W0h1VCXCXLhrktJ7ZkKxk1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12-16 COVER","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"phenomist","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765941697084,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"phenomist","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLHdBzHSDMG-RADrKIBUmK68PWN2q6mt9eqAqAHCbo_EZw=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.504233613075356,"commentorPositionShares":1.8020963819078537,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"qr8d4owcepn","isApi":false,"userId":"L17rUcfJiQfo420d92MELuCrGH63","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/16/25 DOCAS","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"epic","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765933765185,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"epic","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJT0t3lzf88Jvzg0gNUp3VBEieplf9ccEL6lp5oWFd97TLqrM0=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49,"commentorPositionShares":1421.4628794225587,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"tsmpdbn2ym","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"ehzcygmshwq","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" buy more No shares then. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765927855042,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"ehzcygmshwq","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":24277.205530484494,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"kvypa1fgw7","isApi":false,"userId":"x73wWy2U8XhUPk1y1yJBGYd16Mk1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/16/25: HUMOR","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Pancarré","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765923656492,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Pancarre","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FPancarre%2FdC59sN0Ugg.jpg?alt=media&token=5388b2a8-76b4-41a9-89c7-a9b9c7e52d72","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.52,"commentorPositionShares":2372.5739164821384,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"ehzcygmshwq","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I think we need about 10 more hints at this rate","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765923066815,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.52,"commentorPositionShares":9169.263735848952,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":6},{"id":"etrt4nh5o2j","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/17/25: LULAS","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765920311761,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999983,"commentorPositionShares":1713.070605442371,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"q7jwa00q1xp","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"And Hong Kong's antipode is in Argentina, which is close to Santos and President Kennedy 🤔 ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me 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5/12/25","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"✓","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1765914988136,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765914798379,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NorthShoreAwesome","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMyDreamIsHere2018%2F0Qc2UULRt2.jpg?alt=media&token=cef3c3a9-6578-4b85-8e8a-3deee8d8e3c4","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999983,"commentorPositionShares":-8.4e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"2eimvtxfnno","isApi":false,"userId":"OfQFajLL06eTZjJfPeEywtJYVYi2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"3o2ksv3aeg4","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"},{"text":"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z_bATp8P354","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z_bATp8P354","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZfLSN4mxY0E","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZfLSN4mxY0E","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JkMWoHjnaRw","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JkMWoHjnaRw","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline 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guessed.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765914621531,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"f1xgx8ucx7o","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999983,"commentorPositionShares":24277.205530484494,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"f1xgx8ucx7o","isApi":false,"userId":"OfQFajLL06eTZjJfPeEywtJYVYi2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/15/2025 Sitio ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"image","attrs":{"alt":null,"src":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FONpu20czZq.png?alt=media&token=7ae460ec-597f-4bff-a64b-900afcde0b0b","title":null}},{"type":"paragraph"}]},"userName":"MichaelA","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1765915498620,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765914490164,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MichaelSA","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Ffast%2F8qqNIlStNp.png?alt=media&token=239d32f6-a945-4350-a77b-ab3839ae81f5","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999983,"commentorPositionShares":-1.15e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"ezhamvjlcnu","isApi":false,"userId":"OfQFajLL06eTZjJfPeEywtJYVYi2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"myricnmyhqn","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" New Zealand is north Marocco's and Spain's  antipode  ","type":"text"},{"text":"https://www.geodatos.net/en/antipodes/new-zealand/hastings-hawkes-bay","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://www.geodatos.net/en/antipodes/new-zealand/hastings-hawkes-bay","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline 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incorrect?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765913849481,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"zxruf3cdwko","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999983,"commentorPositionShares":24277.205530484494,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"g7fpaifof0e","isApi":false,"userId":"d6La9emHJsTwmxPOZ2UdSYrlr6I3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Gemini still thinks it's VOLVO 😂 ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Explanation of the Hints:","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]}]},{"type":"bulletList","content":[{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Hint 1: Portugal","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" – A reference to the ","type":"text"},{"text":"Volvo Ocean Race","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":", which frequently stops in Lisbon, Portugal, or the country's general maritime connection to the brand's events.","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Hint 2: harbor","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" – Volvo Penta is a major manufacturer of marine engines found in harbors; also refers to the stopovers in the Ocean Race.","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Hint 3: Nazareth","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" – A reference to ","type":"text"},{"text":"Nazaré","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":", Portugal, famous for its giant waves. Volvo sponsors surfing events and the extreme conditions fit the brand's rugged image (e.g., \"The Volvo\" wave).","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Hint 4: [VPP]","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" – This stands for ","type":"text"},{"text":"V","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":"elocity ","type":"text"},{"text":"P","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":"rediction ","type":"text"},{"text":"P","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":"rogram, a crucial software used in yacht racing design (like the Volvo Ocean Race) to calculate the speed of the boat. It gives the first letter ","type":"text"},{"text":"V","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":".","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Hint 5: 9gag","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" – A reference to the long-running internet meme \"Volvo pls\" (a misspelling of the game developer ","type":"text"},{"text":"Valve","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":"), which is very popular on 9gag.","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Hint 6: [O-MBRV]","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" – A specific technical code or a riddle for the letter ","type":"text"},{"text":"O","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":". (In some contexts, MBRV stands for ","type":"text"},{"text":"Maritime...","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}]},{"text":" but here it serves to position the letter).","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Hint 7: herring","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" – Volvo is a ","type":"text"},{"text":"Swedish","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" company, and herring is a staple Swedish food, often associated with the culture of the brand's origin.","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Hint 8: [L-MBRV]","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" – Similar to Hint 6, providing the letter ","type":"text"},{"text":"L","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":".","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Hint 9: Setúbal","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" – A major Portuguese port city. The Volvo Ocean Race has had connections here (or the nearby Tróia peninsula), and it reinforces the maritime theme.","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Hint 10: Presidente","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" & ","type":"text"},{"text":"Hint 11: Santos","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" – This refers to ","type":"text"},{"text":"Fernando Santos","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":", the famous Portuguese football manager (often called \"The Engineer\"). However, in a lateral thinking puzzle, this points to ","type":"text"},{"text":"The President","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" (of a club/country) driving a Volvo, or simply that \"Presidente\" and \"Santos\" are common brand names in regions where Volvo operates. ","type":"text"},{"text":"Correction:","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}]},{"text":" This likely refers to a specific local connection or a famous person named Santos associated with the brand in Portugal.","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Hint 12: 9lives","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" – A reference to ","type":"text"},{"text":"Safety","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":". Volvo is famously the car brand most associated with safety and saving lives (seatbelt invention), effectively giving you \"more lives\".","type":"text"}]}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"The sequence derived from the code hints and the context is ","type":"text"},{"text":"V - O - L - V - O","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":".","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Answer: ","type":"text"},{"text":"VOLVO","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]}]}]}]},"userName":"jcb","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765913111265,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"jcb","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fjcb%2FpaY69J4Um-.jpg?alt=media&token=ba981184-6d55-4dd8-a7a5-4c665c2b9ec8","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"zxruf3cdwko","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999983,"commentorPositionShares":20.303051119356837,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"myricnmyhqn","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"When I look at a globe, it looks like the coast of Brazil, Portugal, Hong Kong, and New Zealand lie on the same great circle. But ChatGPT is gaslighting me and telling me they're not. Someone settle this between us.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765906030083,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"0daissbf7j","commentorPositionProb":0.4959326310579582,"commentorPositionShares":9169.263735848952,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"yvw1qy3aono","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"0nhhtccte6pk","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" The thing is, cats don't like water so there is NO WAY a cat can catch and eat a herring. So you are going to need to work harder than that to link Cats to Herring.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765904960282,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"0daissbf7j","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":24277.205530484494,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"0nhhtccte6pk","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Or maybe it refers to this ","type":"text"},{"text":"random guy ","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/9lives","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]},{"text":"who is from the coast known as ","type":"text"},{"text":"Hawke's Bay","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hawke%27s_Bay","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]},{"text":". And 9gag was made by people from Hong Kong, which is also coastal.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765904537207,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"0daissbf7j","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":9169.263735848952,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"kbnno1kb2dm","betId":"QtdupIhEtOhy","isApi":false,"userId":"A2d3FKnqE9QW2TBUrhJ2jz6Xx2B2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/16/25 SODIO","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"A2d3FKnqE9QW2TBUrhJ2jz6Xx2B2","userName":"Nathan Metzger","betAmount":-49.546351063186286,"betOutcome":"NO","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765904394571,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Haiku","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIjQXIf2njmqzMlFcCjvPdfMG5FDqrDo0mBzTJvO376IoJisHdf=s96-c","betOrderAmount":-49.546351063186286,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":3e-14,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"fki2g3iwk0r","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"zz03ywhwwi","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" I think you could wait for someone to come along and disprove my statement. 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Idk, what else could it be?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765904173041,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"0daissbf7j","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":9169.263735848952,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"6mfc7jxkfpe","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"8vrs9412srf","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" I think cats have \"9 lives\", not \"9lives\", which is probably not a real thing. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765904098088,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"0daissbf7j","commentorPositionProb":0.4950689567702686,"commentorPositionShares":24277.205530484494,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"8vrs9412srf","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"9gag and 9lives might be referring to cat memes","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me 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","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765845576587,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"rdl6dpz7n5","commentorPositionProb":0.49655726191006544,"commentorPositionShares":8361.51119866776,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"ivc38musn5","isApi":false,"userId":"dp5qoJAOmqgfNGxbRm00x8b9bU03","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"v2itndj56o","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" I think this is the connection: ","type":"text"},{"text":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Velopharyngeal_port","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Velopharyngeal_port","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Maybe something nasal sounding?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Mactuary","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765845432147,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Mactuary","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMactuary%2FkyfcaNY7ED.jpeg?alt=media&token=056f660f-81fe-4235-b977-b24dde9fa772","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"rdl6dpz7n5","commentorPositionProb":0.49403385930112476,"commentorPositionShares":19812.43198824086,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"v2itndj56o","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I know the mid back rounded vowel, but what about VPP?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765845108344,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"rdl6dpz7n5","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":8361.51119866776,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"lu92asnnwwh","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"ast22lcaxct","label":"Mactuary"}},{"text":" The fish sauce angle is nice but I wasn't (yet) convinced by every single hint.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765843874700,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"rdl6dpz7n5","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":24488.212888355985,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"ast22lcaxct","isApi":false,"userId":"dp5qoJAOmqgfNGxbRm00x8b9bU03","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"ky1x0q8o3ee","label":"Mactuary"}},{"text":" I had a theory about this being related to fish sauce and ketchup (Chinese word altered in Portuguese). 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See ","type":"text"},{"text":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mid_back_rounded_vowel","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mid_back_rounded_vowel","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]}]}]},"userName":"Mactuary","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765843054912,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Mactuary","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMactuary%2FkyfcaNY7ED.jpeg?alt=media&token=056f660f-81fe-4235-b977-b24dde9fa772","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"rdl6dpz7n5","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":19812.43198824086,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"u9epucn90dg","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Does anybody know what VPP is?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765842536429,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"rdl6dpz7n5","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000002,"commentorPositionShares":8361.51119866776,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"rdl6dpz7n5","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"There's no way all these hints can be linked semantically. 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lol!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Up","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765823687192,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Up","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI-0XmVHtVg-QFxRCKjFoJDMhYNMGFxmON4j6Q10oEriO4zbN8=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"r1ea77q71gk","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":392.2578528461081,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"657tm91951v","isApi":false,"userId":"srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"image","attrs":{"alt":null,"src":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FNctEOuP5u2.png?alt=media&token=d40d858f-c3f3-481f-9bc3-5c0477fc9494","title":null}},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"5th PORTO 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","type":"text"}]},{"type":"image","attrs":{"alt":null,"src":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FU2zyAEuL0g.jpg?alt=media&token=a317d86c-c98f-4422-a035-94362e7072d6","title":null}}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765323680377,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000002,"commentorPositionShares":303.97635148106144,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"h9yjth9h7oe","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"a7dnzi45gy","label":"bens"}},{"text":" If we get a hint tomorrow we will have JUST enough time left in the year to pick up a 17 day streak.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765322154622,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"a7dnzi45gy","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":3.4881523695641596,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"a7dnzi45gy","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"No hint today ;( ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"(16th day in a row)","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765321986228,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"7b2vdluma7x","betId":"9gdL95ShQgcy","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/10/25: GLAZY","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","userName":"Nayuta Ito","betAmount":20,"betOutcome":"YES","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765320359181,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","betOrderAmount":20,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5196982526895337,"commentorPositionShares":254.74473035428235,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"gyhgr25csdr","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Wednesday: ARRRR","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765317545816,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"cgzs4s4cu36","isApi":false,"userId":"d6La9emHJsTwmxPOZ2UdSYrlr6I3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/9/25: GUESS","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"jcb","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765316791787,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"jcb","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fjcb%2FpaY69J4Um-.jpg?alt=media&token=ba981184-6d55-4dd8-a7a5-4c665c2b9ec8","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5099999999999999,"commentorPositionShares":65.12433279963263,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"8p9fl6vefp6","isApi":false,"userId":"dp5qoJAOmqgfNGxbRm00x8b9bU03","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"j9p46s641en","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" And I have a guess I think is good enough to have bumped me from 51% to 52%. 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Five days out I expect to see some dumping","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Mactuary","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765315944696,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Mactuary","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMactuary%2FkyfcaNY7ED.jpeg?alt=media&token=056f660f-81fe-4235-b977-b24dde9fa772","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"j9p46s641en","commentorPositionProb":0.5099999999999999,"commentorPositionShares":10806.336337273275,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"ydnb76o4x2l","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/9/25: ADATE","type":"text"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"All guesses must include a date in the submission ","type":"text"}]}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765314220248,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5099999999999999,"commentorPositionShares":271.53519922167357,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":8},{"id":"lxfgaqt05er","isApi":false,"userId":"s6XvPq9CXLhiMIE3hLtGOOgM18C2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"VELAR - 12/9/2025","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MR ME","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765305582786,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MRME","userAvatarUrl":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/user-images/Z6cQupR0.png","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"xz0dpg0wznc","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"contract-mention","attrs":{"id":"0zdylPRLgt","label":"/Eliza/will-bens-puzzle-be-solved-less-tha"}},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"I have another one in the same series! 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Did you already solve it and you're just holding back to gain mana? I wonder if there's a market about that.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765255448638,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5099999999999999,"commentorPositionShares":3.4881523695641596,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"3bapjulr5iq","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"fhnknwy1r3d","label":"bens"}},{"text":" Thanks for the update. Will there be a hint tomorrow? I'm wondering what the odds are of a hint tomorrow.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765255356030,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"fhnknwy1r3d","commentorPositionProb":0.5099999999999999,"commentorPositionShares":3.4881523695641596,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"fhnknwy1r3d","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"No hint today ;(","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben 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","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765143362105,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"91ydvl4kctb","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":160.62551022576164,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"muaupydkdr9","isApi":false,"userId":"G6VshilGdXb9s1Mx0sxwhho6Jvc2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"nypfjpcxeji","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" Comment of the year","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eli 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Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765142949419,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"757yw91uxok","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"9gag the word comes from cantonese pronounciation. if the phonology angle is correct, I found this: ","type":"text"},{"text":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cantonese_phonology","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cantonese_phonology","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline 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⭐️","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765141152564,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"johnNZOy","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FjohnNZOy%2FUsEZAquyqu.png?alt=media&token=60d491e9-f6e5-4fc6-b14b-78caa461687e","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"ssow55q03er","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":0,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"hpxga1pzm0l","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"ssow55q03er","label":"johnNZOy"}},{"text":" Hmm. 9gag is the interesting one, if this is a legit tack to take","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville 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⭐️","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765140979851,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"johnNZOy","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FjohnNZOy%2FUsEZAquyqu.png?alt=media&token=60d491e9-f6e5-4fc6-b14b-78caa461687e","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"ssow55q03er","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":0,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"j6ea5362iz","isApi":false,"userId":"kp1baNwv1JavDrOAfdy0tpNU5WB2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"9cvf275eojw","label":"JussiVilleHeiskanen"}},{"text":" mb MBRV could also be Marine Biological Research Vessel","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"john 🫘 kyu san 𝛊 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Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765140881053,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"ssow55q03er","likes":1},{"id":"wuw6j0lc6gf","isApi":false,"userId":"kp1baNwv1JavDrOAfdy0tpNU5WB2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"l2qbbjbj6p","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" mb long-mid back rounded vowel or low-mid back rounded vowel","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"john 🫘 kyu san 𝛊 ⭐️","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1765140724297,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765140673416,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"johnNZOy","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FjohnNZOy%2FUsEZAquyqu.png?alt=media&token=60d491e9-f6e5-4fc6-b14b-78caa461687e","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"ssow55q03er","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":0,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"l2qbbjbj6p","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"ssow55q03er","label":"johnNZOy"}},{"text":" That sounds dangerously close to Linguistics. What is [L-MBRV] then?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765140525192,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"ssow55q03er","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":3.4881523695641596,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"ssow55q03er","isApi":false,"userId":"kp1baNwv1JavDrOAfdy0tpNU5WB2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"[O-MBRV]","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]},{"text":" could be an open-mid back rounded vowel","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"john 🫘 kyu san 𝛊 ⭐️","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765140140215,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"johnNZOy","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FjohnNZOy%2FUsEZAquyqu.png?alt=media&token=60d491e9-f6e5-4fc6-b14b-78caa461687e","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":0,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"gqf7tdn8g4n","isApi":false,"userId":"kp1baNwv1JavDrOAfdy0tpNU5WB2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"0oaev7xu19ue","label":"bens"}},{"text":" Exactly","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"john 🫘 kyu san 𝛊 ⭐️","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765140014711,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"johnNZOy","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FjohnNZOy%2FUsEZAquyqu.png?alt=media&token=60d491e9-f6e5-4fc6-b14b-78caa461687e","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"ba7gmiq52ol","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":0,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"osu2dfe9exn","isApi":false,"userId":"Ddm060TkMrbUqyi4jfMQCoOZMdA3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"7/12: FIEPQ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"121 🫘 roku nana 𝛊","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765130941605,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"121","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2F121%2FLgnq86zRNg.png?alt=media&token=54be0a38-9af4-474a-b9b5-ba7e5db4a11f","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5074991563923561,"commentorPositionShares":0,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"b9njaeu9w94","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"ispzzn27pcl","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" looks like they're on sale today though. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765125298160,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"l84aoco3esj","commentorPositionProb":0.4999999999999999,"commentorPositionShares":3.4881523695641596,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"ispzzn27pcl","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"l84aoco3esj","label":"bens"}},{"text":" I was considering paying 11,000 mana to unlock a hint but I wasn't sure it would work!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765125278727,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"l84aoco3esj","commentorPositionProb":0.4999999999999999,"commentorPositionShares":3.4881523695641596,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"l84aoco3esj","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"There was no hint on 12/6 and… screw it, no hint on 12/7 either while I’m at it","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765099683654,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":2},{"id":"krbpr6nud7m","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I had a guess for Saturday but it's Sunday now and I'm not wasting my guess so I guess I have to just skip it.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765098558116,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5143147053412308,"commentorPositionShares":3.4881523695641596,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"nypfjpcxeji","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"rg9c4y5o6be","label":"JussiVilleHeiskanen"}},{"text":" I can do a pretty good BenS impression:","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Hey, look at me everybody, I'm going to ","type":"text"},{"text":"run a system of government","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://manifold.markets/bens/will-i-receive-the-mandate-of-the-p?r=UXVyb2U","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]},{"text":" and ","type":"text"},{"text":"kill a meme","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://manifold.markets/Quroe/how-many-manifolders-will-double-it?r=UXVyb2U#5cx71a79a2t","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]},{"text":". ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765093528751,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"91ydvl4kctb","commentorPositionProb":0.5148290585843509,"commentorPositionShares":1630.035641010413,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"rg9c4y5o6be","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"1y4vgojcgn5","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" eh, darn you  ,for a moment I thought you were Ben","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765093336220,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"91ydvl4kctb","likes":3},{"id":"1y4vgojcgn5","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"This. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765090946144,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"91ydvl4kctb","commentorPositionProb":0.5148290585843509,"commentorPositionShares":1630.035641010413,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"91ydvl4kctb","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Sunday:XXXXX","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765088374469,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":5},{"id":"y3bb10j0l9a","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"z4bsqq54emq","label":"NayutaIto"}},{"text":" I mean, if Ben wants everyone to start answering with a vestigial 6th letter on each of their answers... ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765084531326,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"yxmcmm5yq0f","commentorPositionProb":0.5148290585843509,"commentorPositionShares":1630.035641010413,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"z4bsqq54emq","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"pwb5iyevb8","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" but what if 5 of them make the answer?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765084013609,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"yxmcmm5yq0f","commentorPositionProb":0.5148290585843509,"commentorPositionShares":177.05227767650234,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"pwb5iyevb8","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I'll award 500 mana to whoever solves this puzzle with a 6-letter answer. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765082549019,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"yxmcmm5yq0f","commentorPositionProb":0.5148290585843509,"commentorPositionShares":1630.035641010413,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"i97vreo8n1c","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"yxmcmm5yq0f","label":"JMFS"}},{"text":" bruh ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben 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S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765008200587,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"ahqbuuw8jf9","likes":1},{"id":"2htd7tyqnae","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"No hint today ;(","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1765008149425,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":2},{"id":"orog8kwodso","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"yov8uvlv5ea","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" I'm pretty sure we understood the dynamic early on.  But participants maybe were unsure how many hints would be required.  I think the hints 7, 8, 9 were an aberration though, they only cost me about 150 mana and I'm not sure how many other users were just directly paying mana for hints in that phase but it didn't seem like it was very expensive.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764996027392,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"yov8uvlv5ea","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":5.548189624908629,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"fwfq18mes4k","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Prove your ","type":"text"},{"text":"loyalty","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://manifold.markets/chakkuchamar/tits-or-ass?r=UXVyb2U","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]},{"text":", Ben. Say it's the answer. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"image","attrs":{"alt":null,"src":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FNyygOELInz.jpg?alt=media&token=717a9ddb-bda2-402e-8d0a-846e2e2994ae","title":null}}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764994652117,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"ahqbuuw8jf9","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":1860.1254102617145,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"kxzscv84xqf","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"yov8uvlv5ea","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" Yeah, that seems like about the right read.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764994523181,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"yov8uvlv5ea","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":1860.1254102617145,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"yov8uvlv5ea","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"This market is designed so that nothing happens until there are x days left, where x is the number of hints the market predicts it will take to solve the puzzle. 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","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764991808521,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":8e-14,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"ahqbuuw8jf9","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/05/25: BUTTS","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 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whale","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"✓","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764924473711,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NorthShoreAwesome","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMyDreamIsHere2018%2F0Qc2UULRt2.jpg?alt=media&token=cef3c3a9-6578-4b85-8e8a-3deee8d8e3c4","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5097448467167818,"commentorPositionShares":700.0780564298244,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"eodk0fbsif","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"ep41mhtukjc","label":"bens"}},{"text":" Oh I think that was regarding the eyes that were looking for a low level signal.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764906834821,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4tst7os4tmm","commentorPositionProb":0.510254744442633,"commentorPositionShares":5.548189624908629,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"tcchquqpdw8","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/4/25: Siren","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me 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S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764905700545,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4tst7os4tmm","likes":0},{"id":"jpqfvvxhml","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I bet some nerd is gonna solve it with the current clues","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764905405330,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"76rjnttahtw","commentorPositionProb":0.507499156392356,"commentorPositionShares":-7.9e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"sbxw6zzaltn","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"e5rgpb79g86","label":"NayutaIto"}},{"text":" If Andrew still holds 18000 No shares and there's only one day left, I doubt he would want to buy Yes shares at that price anymore. He'd lose all his profit!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764905101809,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"76rjnttahtw","commentorPositionProb":0.507499156392356,"commentorPositionShares":5.548189624908629,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"2pz7554l27j","isApi":false,"userId":"d6La9emHJsTwmxPOZ2UdSYrlr6I3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"🤔🤔🤔🤔","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Maybe I am monitoring the site insufficiently carefully.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Or maybe the problem is that I'm not a YES holder?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"jcb","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1764904866379,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764904846301,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"jcb","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fjcb%2FpaY69J4Um-.jpg?alt=media&token=ba981184-6d55-4dd8-a7a5-4c665c2b9ec8","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4tst7os4tmm","commentorPositionProb":0.507499156392356,"commentorPositionShares":138.49098480622385,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"wtnytqk0nhe","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/4/25: POLAR","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764904141672,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.4999999999999999,"commentorPositionShares":1914.4149487990928,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"e5rgpb79g86","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"wnsvtllxtlt","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" One person keeps the most of the 50% wall. Yes, this puzzle is screwed greatly by only one person.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764904062323,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"76rjnttahtw","commentorPositionProb":0.4999999999999999,"commentorPositionShares":80.86924924109758,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"ku0ze47f4el","isApi":false,"userId":"LovJp5Rp2FYMPd03cgEMjsSsKhO2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"2025-12-04: OLHAO","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Gustavo Silva","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764891465759,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"silva95gustavo","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocId9d7N6D5_Ga6MEijVmPQ4Gcs3GybcWmcFtUQKjZwmyoQ=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":1946.2998461117063,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"wnsvtllxtlt","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"21rpcx7wm1p","label":"bens"}},{"text":" If it's December 30 and there are still just 9 hints, will people still be buying Yes shares to hold it at 50%???","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764890700747,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"76rjnttahtw","commentorPositionProb":0.4999999999999999,"commentorPositionShares":5.548189624908629,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"z9malztowe","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"so3bndk74aj","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" Also don't get too hung up on it being something on earth.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764890616561,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"so3bndk74aj","commentorPositionProb":0.4999999999999999,"commentorPositionShares":5.548189624908629,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"21rpcx7wm1p","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"crfwg8xb1di","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" hmmm, much to think about","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764890234549,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"76rjnttahtw","likes":1},{"id":"16fsaqg5wer","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"so3bndk74aj","label":"ItsMe"}},{"text":" Reminder for everyone else out there that none of the hints was \"linguistics\" and this is an assumption that some commenters have made down below.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764890190370,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"so3bndk74aj","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":5.548189624908629,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"so3bndk74aj","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"The coast of Portugal, linguistics, and 9gag. What on earth could this be...","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764890136030,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":-7.9e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"crfwg8xb1di","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"76rjnttahtw","label":"bens"}},{"text":" What do you think about this streak of eleven consecutive days with no hints whatsoever? I see people are still buying Yes shares even though there are no hints.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Perhaps someone has already solved the puzzle but doesn't want to let on until they can get Yes shares for a better price.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764890044588,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"76rjnttahtw","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":5.548189624908629,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"76rjnttahtw","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"No hint today either","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764888602079,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"9wpt1rbdk68","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/05/25: BROWN","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764888216349,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5141188678454414,"commentorPositionShares":80.86924924109758,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"sf6gvhjpj8b","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"nwldsyezg7q","label":"bens"}},{"text":" Good thing we already litigated this eventuality!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764867333186,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"nwldsyezg7q","commentorPositionProb":0.5141188678454414,"commentorPositionShares":5.548189624908629,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"nwldsyezg7q","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"There was no hint yesterday (was busy and missed it but the market was above 50% the entire day)","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764863801980,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my 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puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":3.38e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"c5cqexdwep","betId":"R86h2lEZLZLO","isApi":false,"userId":"KsJICm0oE8Qz7r3FFSe8vmH7Yex2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"If the value of the market is below 50%, I will give a single hint, which I will compile in the description over time. If the value of the market is above 50% (inclusive), I will not give a hint.","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"KsJICm0oE8Qz7r3FFSe8vmH7Yex2","userName":"p31UauW0CdhebcGbv1QLpJDrLN02","betAmount":103,"betOutcome":"NO","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764798042259,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"The_Nth_unique_trader","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fthisniceperson%2F9A08NPAUIc.jpg?alt=media&token=25a7aec5-7fad-4664-99bd-29c417fcf6a1","betOrderAmount":103,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my 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puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":3.5544556217001406,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"cs7o28al0oi","isApi":false,"userId":"U2BJ7ulljShT8vuI1H7Svf5Eilu2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/3/25: ANHAO","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"gold","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764748294232,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"gold","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucop2kwwURBG7sZ0Srrem6SKI8K5r3Md7w2F03xwyA=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5099999999999999,"commentorPositionShares":0,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"b0o3drhgbsg","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"7vgoxmdu71","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" oh wait the image on mobile didn’t extend far down enough for me to see your name on the list 😆 ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764738514464,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"844if9hhecg","likes":2},{"id":"7vgoxmdu71","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"rp2n00tfr6","label":"bens"}},{"text":" I have been a No holder for a long time, one of the top few. But now I am a Yes holder.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764738237718,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"844if9hhecg","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":1.5946121427699163,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"rp2n00tfr6","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"844if9hhecg","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" huh?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben 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update:","type":"text"}]},{"type":"image","attrs":{"alt":null,"src":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FyQyhIsOZ6z.png?alt=media&token=3521d7c4-dd65-42ff-af70-29c2f0a315f9","title":null}},{"type":"paragraph"}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764736640966,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5099999999999999,"commentorPositionShares":1.5946121427699163,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"9kfhyoqufo9","isApi":false,"userId":"d6La9emHJsTwmxPOZ2UdSYrlr6I3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/2/25: HBDAY","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"jcb","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764719080510,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"jcb","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fjcb%2FpaY69J4Um-.jpg?alt=media&token=ba981184-6d55-4dd8-a7a5-4c665c2b9ec8","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.53,"commentorPositionShares":168.4909848062235,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"4tst7os4tmm","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"👁 👁 👁 👁 ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764717493478,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.53,"commentorPositionShares":1937.9432335182769,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"la29bgzxuu9","isApi":false,"userId":"hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"OH I JUST SAW","type":"text"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"HAPPY BELATED BDAY","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Pat Scott🩴","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764715615015,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Stralor","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FStralor%2FFqiZkD-2-U.jpg?alt=media&token=286ba5a2-bd31-4f19-b6fe-53e90fa501ca","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.53,"commentorPositionShares":12000.37761560491,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"im52nvt6vgp","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Wednesday: BLOCK","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville 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Ito","betAmount":50,"betOutcome":"YES","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764715436220,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","betOrderAmount":50,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.53,"commentorPositionShares":80.86924924109758,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"a8s3v6u75p4","isApi":false,"userId":"hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"cqol46v7dk","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" that's easy enough, just cancel and remake","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Pat Scott🩴","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764711764323,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Stralor","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FStralor%2FFqiZkD-2-U.jpg?alt=media&token=286ba5a2-bd31-4f19-b6fe-53e90fa501ca","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"cqol46v7dk","commentorPositionProb":0.5065242157557743,"commentorPositionShares":12000.37761560491,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"axnavzu2u1","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"4r7dfwalyct","label":"bens"}},{"text":" actions have consequences!!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764710797775,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4r7dfwalyct","commentorPositionProb":0.5065242157557743,"commentorPositionShares":1937.9432335182769,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"4r7dfwalyct","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"image","attrs":{"alt":null,"src":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2Fd6z6dhnE2c.png?alt=media&token=b9c0e550-4508-4255-98cc-07bda6efcf3e","title":null}},{"type":"paragraph"}]},"userName":"Ben 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The traders at the 50% wall will want to be at ","type":"text"},{"text":"the end","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}]},{"text":" of the queue and be filled last, after everybody else in line. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764698537049,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5065242157557743,"commentorPositionShares":2060.714794910799,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"852hv26rhr","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"No hint today ;(","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764695670144,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":0},{"id":"ziyf38p0z4f","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"wndscv2rlm","label":"Stralor"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"},{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" I can't wait for the post-mortem on this lmao","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764695514352,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"obfp3ob9cfc","likes":1},{"id":"7ehrbluafpt","isApi":false,"userId":"gA02bfOzw3TSXKgeQqXbSklV9p22","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/2/25: FUUKO","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"ramen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764695305174,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"BURNTramenNoOdLeS","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBURNTramenNoOdLeS%2FUN9hQc0uEl.jpg?alt=media&token=af717435-9dd9-4c78-9f59-a7d78ae7fa41","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5095989690094177,"commentorPositionShares":210.01586467788943,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"jdmh7iccb0h","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"mjpty868ry8","label":"121"}},{"text":" And here's your ","type":"text"},{"text":"SEVEN","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://manifold.markets/bens/will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle#vlzutt9g6t","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]},{"text":". ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764694302109,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"mjpty868ry8","commentorPositionProb":0.5095989690094177,"commentorPositionShares":2060.714794910799,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"mjpty868ry8","isApi":false,"userId":"Ddm060TkMrbUqyi4jfMQCoOZMdA3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/2/25: SIXTY","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"121 🫘 roku nana 𝛊","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764693571410,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"121","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2F121%2FLgnq86zRNg.png?alt=media&token=54be0a38-9af4-474a-b9b5-ba7e5db4a11f","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5095989690094177,"commentorPositionShares":0,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"cjn75owqtfu","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/2/25: FIFTY","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764693443505,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5095989690094177,"commentorPositionShares":2060.714794910799,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"b8dloxdia89","betId":"ltldRIy2CIE6","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"The Invisible Hand giveth. ","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","userName":"Quroe 🫘","betAmount":0,"betOutcome":"YES","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764661954750,"betLimitProb":0.47,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","betOrderAmount":23,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"obfp3ob9cfc","commentorPositionProb":0.5097079797378762,"commentorPositionShares":2060.714794910799,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"wndscv2rlm","isApi":false,"userId":"hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"obfp3ob9cfc","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" y'all are up to something clearly. I'm not in the secret cabal but you keep making overtures like you're ready to solve it as soon as you get the shares to make it worthwhile. if true, it's a good hostage negotiation: either you acquire the YES shares or you withhold the answer and win with your NO. but it only works if ","type":"text"},{"text":"you're sure","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}]},{"text":" and ","type":"text"},{"text":"no one else","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}]},{"text":" figures it out.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Pat Scott🩴","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764659751339,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Stralor","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FStralor%2FFqiZkD-2-U.jpg?alt=media&token=286ba5a2-bd31-4f19-b6fe-53e90fa501ca","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"obfp3ob9cfc","commentorPositionProb":0.5097079797378762,"commentorPositionShares":12000.37761560491,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"obfp3ob9cfc","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Okay we set a new record with 8 consecutive no hint days. We have a strong wall at 50% of nearly 10,000 mana.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"If any of you Yes holders are confused/surprised why so few No believers are buying shares, you can send a low level signal by placing a 23 mana Yes order at 47%. No one will notice it because it won't get filled, but \"the eyes\" will see it.  Monitor the site carefully in the 24 hours after that for further info.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1764657462567,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764657434301,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5097079797378762,"commentorPositionShares":1937.9432335182769,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"ojm60j47xk","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Tuesday:TOPOS","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764634809558,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"g5m3vlebsn7","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"4adwfogl70k","label":"MRME"}},{"text":" please include a date in the future with your guess","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764634221288,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4adwfogl70k","likes":0},{"id":"pah41ofpyko","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/02/25: WALLS","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764629095481,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":122.95811575386419,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"4adwfogl70k","isApi":false,"userId":"s6XvPq9CXLhiMIE3hLtGOOgM18C2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"BRAGA","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MR ME","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764626667924,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MRME","userAvatarUrl":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/user-images/Z6cQupR0.png","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"fbpewjavy8c","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"No hint today ;(","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764621262889,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"3r26d5yhm1f","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"cfx86cml6ut","label":"JussiVilleHeiskanen"}},{"text":" Ooo, that would be funny. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764602072247,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"h4ifplobct","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":2060.714794910799,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"cfx86cml6ut","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"h4ifplobct","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" We should have a market on how many times XABDU is given... (I got there a bit before you) CATCH was also twice entered","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1764589742832,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764589523727,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"h4ifplobct","likes":0},{"id":"70fq6hdbh33","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"s29jq5a2kjh","label":"bens"}},{"text":" We need a Metaculus metamarket. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764576910071,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"eceuour0jz5","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":2060.714794910799,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"h4ifplobct","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/1/25: XABDU","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I swear, if it was ","type":"text"},{"text":"right there","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}]},{"text":"... ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764575065748,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":2060.714794910799,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"w1dzyktiwl","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"s29jq5a2kjh","label":"bens"}},{"text":" You get a somewhat similar effect, perhaps even more illuminating by analyzing the limit walls or ramparts if any, with all the usual caveats","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764572898806,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"eceuour0jz5","likes":0},{"id":"s29jq5a2kjh","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"1utr9vsg9p4","label":"Bayesian"}},{"text":" wait this is actually really insightful... I wonder if you could extract some kind of aggregated forecasting improvements by asking forecasters for their binary spread or something (only half joking)","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764555001109,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"eceuour0jz5","likes":0},{"id":"vqflhvza1sg","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"f9knwdkrvzp","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" I’ll probably try to do the morning after","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764553521296,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"3dbaxzb6v6","likes":0},{"id":"f9knwdkrvzp","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"3dbaxzb6v6","label":"bens"}},{"text":" If you accidentally go a full day without announcing either no hint, or a hint....will you apply that day's result as of the first next time you check it, or will it get skipped entirely?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764550115685,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"3dbaxzb6v6","commentorPositionProb":0.5019915125611745,"commentorPositionShares":3015.595346123781,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"1utr9vsg9p4","isApi":false,"userId":"srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"jzr8h8oc2kj","label":"BooLightning"}},{"text":" lmao","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Bayesian","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764549796193,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Bayesian","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBayesian%2FZkuJDsEcaR.png?alt=media&token=007b04d0-7859-4fb3-ab4b-99938a8b4ab3","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"eceuour0jz5","commentorPositionProb":0.5019915125611745,"commentorPositionShares":995.1715140120327,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"jzr8h8oc2kj","isApi":false,"userId":"lWvX7WwoYhVUajxiDxxHfN2kM4e2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"mxzablxdnw","label":"JussiVilleHeiskanen"}},{"text":" to be clear, i am also only 20% certain it will resolve yes, the rest is uncertainty ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Boo Lightning","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764548290730,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"BooLightning","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKC4X2INo4-tyTknyIWpq6Mo4Do5kOyczhqltam6O7u4wE=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"eceuour0jz5","commentorPositionProb":0.5019915125611745,"commentorPositionShares":66.22354982729215,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":4},{"id":"xhu4plg1opi","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Each and every time you like one of my answers, I am momentarily fooled into thinking you really like it.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764547103232,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":4},{"id":"kfi3m6yzjs","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"s68cfoqukgq","label":"MaxE"}},{"text":" crucially, unlike the \"will this market go below 50%,\" if the market doesn't go below 50%, the market will still resolve NO when no one solves the puzzle, haha","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764546711728,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"eaneefzco1t","likes":0},{"id":"wp38ouprwib","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"zrjeczav1dl","label":"JussiVilleHeiskanen"}},{"text":" I'm not sure I know what this means but regardless 'm not going to answer","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764546197692,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"zrjeczav1dl","likes":3},{"id":"zrjeczav1dl","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"You don't have to answer, but would you confirm that the answer itself would not have been valid as a clue as they are generated?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764544731432,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":0},{"id":"efe7qdpk4jl","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Monday: CLEAR","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764544607281,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"mxzablxdnw","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"eceuour0jz5","label":"BooLightning"}},{"text":" That would mean that all the YES would have to flip at some point.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764544398130,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"eceuour0jz5","likes":1},{"id":"eceuour0jz5","isApi":false,"userId":"lWvX7WwoYhVUajxiDxxHfN2kM4e2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I am 20% certain that this market will resolve no","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Boo Lightning","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764544283829,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"BooLightning","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKC4X2INo4-tyTknyIWpq6Mo4Do5kOyczhqltam6O7u4wE=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5024937500777354,"commentorPositionShares":66.22354982729215,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"nijl9a6kfg","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/01/25: SATOR","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764543029246,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5024937500777354,"commentorPositionShares":162.56609237215312,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"3dbaxzb6v6","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"No hint today ;(","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764540382830,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":0},{"id":"gooumnumj0l","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"x6iaiuv5ojh","label":"bens"}},{"text":" UTC+2, I think","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764535470033,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"my25ipoz7ie","likes":0},{"id":"pu3j85vazri","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"cjbzb1tffrd","label":"BURNTramenNoOdLeS"}},{"text":" Oh, a Japanese word! That opens a whole new world of candidates ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764535289740,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"cjbzb1tffrd","commentorPositionProb":0.5039953292955766,"commentorPositionShares":172.54121675026252,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"q3ejuzkkww","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"s68cfoqukgq","label":"MaxE"}},{"text":" Main issue is I can't submit guesses because I can never figure out what day it is.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764534938978,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"eaneefzco1t","commentorPositionProb":0.5039953292955766,"commentorPositionShares":3072.613518708498,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"dzywrzrolgd","isApi":false,"userId":"NBw6afhgmHWb4pqOWvyzYQ9wBJj1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/30/2025: SPAIN","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Max E 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🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764534656791,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MaxE","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKF1hmknqZKBlhKD9R4pr0RAWGNU0L7h3Gd_lvrtcY-PgU=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"eaneefzco1t","likes":1},{"id":"awb40lp5w3j","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"wfk51y687gq","label":"MaxE"}},{"text":" so you bet No on the other market because you're not a true 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M.","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764498261932,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"AleksandrM","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtdzC8kCfiUtsAlYMjuhArtr1DJcDLxxU9t7qGknTiLM=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"51gp1w2aedk","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"1vzr4yeojwbj","label":"NayutaIto"}},{"text":" no you’re fine, I haven’t invalidated any guesses","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764494463986,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"rtjhn6o61eq","likes":1},{"id":"1vzr4yeojwbj","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"rtjhn6o61eq","label":"bens"}}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Does timezone make a guess invalid? I use the timezone where I live (JST), but it's a very early zone so sometimes you give today's hint after I post today's guess (looking at the date numbers only). Is that considered a \"wrong\" date annotation?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764492316988,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"rtjhn6o61eq","commentorPositionProb":0.502991000161031,"commentorPositionShares":172.54121675026252,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"0q9q2y8nnljd","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"x6iaiuv5ojh","label":"bens"}},{"text":" oh I guess it could’ve been like 1am Europe time or something","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764492113091,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"my25ipoz7ie","likes":0},{"id":"rtjhn6o61eq","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2","label":"traders"}},{"text":" Please start submitting the answers with actual dates.  I don’t care how you format the dates as long as it’s legible or whatever.  No one has submitted the correct answer with or without the date yet, but I really don’t want to get into some weird edge case where someone submits the correct answer but it’s like in a comment with two words, or where someone writes three comments where it’s unclear which of those is their daily guess or… you get the idea.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1764491999730,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764491984941,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":3},{"id":"x6iaiuv5ojh","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"my25ipoz7ie","label":"JussiVilleHeiskanen"}},{"text":" in what time zone is this Sunday?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764491828634,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"my25ipoz7ie","likes":0},{"id":"eaneefzco1t","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I got information from a different market that the real probability here is just 48%, yet no one is buying No shares while the market is at 50%.","type":"text"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"I smell conspiracy.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764470604370,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":3235.675266920874,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"z1qqetb0xqe","isApi":false,"userId":"s6XvPq9CXLhiMIE3hLtGOOgM18C2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"LISBO","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MR ME","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764459198262,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MRME","userAvatarUrl":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/user-images/Z6cQupR0.png","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"my25ipoz7ie","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"CATCH (sunday)","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764456708787,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"6xfs83z6f7r","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"\"","type":"text"},{"text":"The more time that passes without hints, the less likely you will be to solve it.\" -- this suggests the hints are time sensitive, that is the hints are generated at time of hinting and at later dates the generated hints will be less useful. Or that is my gloss.","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764453303978,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":2},{"id":"g1r8vi2tz6","isApi":false,"userId":"Ddm060TkMrbUqyi4jfMQCoOZMdA3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"jklm7u3g8f","label":"Stralor"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"},{"text":"I j lost z","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}]}]},{"type":"image","attrs":{"alt":null,"src":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FAcCdc6UnLn.png?alt=media&token=7ffd9833-2277-45ab-b8da-32c824a91047","title":null}},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":" game","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"121 🫘 roku nana 𝛊","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764452757270,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"121","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2F121%2FLgnq86zRNg.png?alt=media&token=54be0a38-9af4-474a-b9b5-ba7e5db4a11f","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my 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BRAWL","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Magnify","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764401031178,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Magnify","userAvatarUrl":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/user-images/tdq6d9UP.png","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"qas80kl9gs8","isApi":false,"userId":"hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"nnxeystxr9k","label":"Bayesian"}},{"text":" it's a good argument but it falls a little flat when I got most of my shares from my own limit orders before the wall was a thing, then some from NO holder limits, and very few from the AMM. almost convinced me!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Pat Scott🩴","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764396664709,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Stralor","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FStralor%2FFqiZkD-2-U.jpg?alt=media&token=286ba5a2-bd31-4f19-b6fe-53e90fa501ca","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"9qlihgbg7gi","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":12073.37761560491,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"648d2nuvb6","isApi":false,"userId":"srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"pd2wsw5bew","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" I wish he had! He has my respect, risking his mana for the sake of our puzzle-solving success","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Bayesian","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764396664413,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Bayesian","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBayesian%2FZkuJDsEcaR.png?alt=media&token=007b04d0-7859-4fb3-ab4b-99938a8b4ab3","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"9qlihgbg7gi","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":995.1715140120327,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"pd2wsw5bew","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"nnxeystxr9k","label":"Bayesian"}},{"text":" Spoken like a true No holder. Did Andrew Hebb write that for you?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764396312883,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"9qlihgbg7gi","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":4110.887732274173,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"dwrnufy8nit","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Moral language has its uses. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"contract-mention","attrs":{"id":"c6QhcISsNy","label":"/Quroe/bayesian-shame-index-bnsi"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764396053277,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"9qlihgbg7gi","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":2060.714794910799,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"1nxhrxa9dz3","betId":"t99St9gLPAzs","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"12/29/25: BALLS","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","userName":"Quroe 🫘","betAmount":0,"betOutcome":"YES","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764395183412,"betLimitProb":0.5,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","betOrderAmount":1500,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":2060.714794910799,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"iehl1k5ue3e","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"No hint today ;(","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764381477681,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"38qooqhlyg8","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"zsc0pd6gfd","label":"bens"}},{"text":" Not all Market Creators are honorable. Thanks for the reassurance! ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764381433054,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"mhanphb20f7","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":333.164330467616,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":4},{"id":"zsc0pd6gfd","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"mhanphb20f7","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" I will not trade on this market!  I guess I didn’t even think to put that in the criteria bc it’s so obviously impractical if I were allowed to bet on this ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764381363059,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"mhanphb20f7","likes":7},{"id":"ou6wqqjy16","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"kodrxnd3a2","label":"Stralor"}},{"text":" I don't think he has been, but there's nothing quite like the feeling of security of ink on paper. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764381226550,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"mhanphb20f7","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":333.164330467616,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"kodrxnd3a2","isApi":false,"userId":"hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"mhanphb20f7","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" has he been trading at all? I don't think that's a risk with Ben, even if he didn't say so specifically","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Pat Scott🩴","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764381157978,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Stralor","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FStralor%2FFqiZkD-2-U.jpg?alt=media&token=286ba5a2-bd31-4f19-b6fe-53e90fa501ca","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"mhanphb20f7","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":12073.37761560491,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"mhanphb20f7","betId":"d6sq56c8lsu0","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","label":"bens"}},{"text":" Do you commit to not make any trades after knowing if somebody has submitted a correct guess? (In other words, are the NO limit orders safe against somebody with perfect knowledge?) ","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","userName":"Quroe 🫘","betAmount":1,"betOutcome":"NO","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764381057602,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","betOrderAmount":1,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":333.164330467616,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"713k615ltsw","isApi":false,"userId":"cPQMzdgrnFZIhyYJ1SYB7OyUmsR2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/28: SORFD","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"spiderduckpig","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764378465594,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"spiderduckpig","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fspiderduckpig%2FQ0lS6LNh8l.jpg?alt=media&token=c7339c8a-7614-4fe3-bce9-8658f4ecd961","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5100000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":1e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"4mkierd1weg","isApi":false,"userId":"gA02bfOzw3TSXKgeQqXbSklV9p22","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/28/25: RAMEN","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"ramen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764374761483,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"BURNTramenNoOdLeS","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBURNTramenNoOdLeS%2FUN9hQc0uEl.jpg?alt=media&token=af717435-9dd9-4c78-9f59-a7d78ae7fa41","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"nnxeystxr9k","isApi":false,"userId":"srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"uh483o9tw5","label":"Stralor"}},{"text":" it's not about whether you break the wall, each single person holding YES shares makes it harder for the wall to be broken, requires ppl to counterbalance it with NO positions. like if you want us to succeed you would sell your shares now imo, then at minimum the YES wall would be smaller, if not gone entirely. if two people buy 10k YES at 51% and thereby indirectly create a 20k YES wall at 50%, yes neither of them can singlehandedly undo the wall but both of them are responsible and the cost of breaking the wall goes from 20k to 10k if either of them does the right thing (ok perhaps this added moral language is not necessary)","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Bayesian","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764373343849,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Bayesian","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBayesian%2FZkuJDsEcaR.png?alt=media&token=007b04d0-7859-4fb3-ab4b-99938a8b4ab3","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"9qlihgbg7gi","commentorPositionProb":0.5100000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":2424.0041429181188,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"755a45fzjii","betId":"8nqnnLE6qA8Q","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/29/25: OTHER","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","userName":"Nayuta Ito","betAmount":100,"betOutcome":"NO","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764369296206,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","betOrderAmount":100,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":268.0683062101562,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"7tzzsn1hsmj","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"j4ld5pjvn4o","label":"Stralor"}},{"text":" The true filter to determine which of us here are Millenials or older. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764365644350,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"9qlihgbg7gi","commentorPositionProb":0.5100000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":124.51640976385772,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"j4ld5pjvn4o","isApi":false,"userId":"hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"37xkiojxyt4","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" I didn't mean to but it's the first thing that popped in my head when you posted that 🙃 ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Pat Scott🩴","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764365549165,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Stralor","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FStralor%2FFqiZkD-2-U.jpg?alt=media&token=286ba5a2-bd31-4f19-b6fe-53e90fa501ca","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"9qlihgbg7gi","commentorPositionProb":0.5100000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":12073.37761560491,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"37xkiojxyt4","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"jklm7u3g8f","label":"Stralor"}},{"text":" Oh, are we bringing this back? ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I lose The Game. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764365503004,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"9qlihgbg7gi","commentorPositionProb":0.5100000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":124.51640976385772,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"jklm7u3g8f","isApi":false,"userId":"hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"eb31v5ha7c","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" I just lost The Game","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Pat Scott🩴","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764365470914,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Stralor","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FStralor%2FFqiZkD-2-U.jpg?alt=media&token=286ba5a2-bd31-4f19-b6fe-53e90fa501ca","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"9qlihgbg7gi","commentorPositionProb":0.5100000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":12073.37761560491,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"eb31v5ha7c","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"image","attrs":{"alt":null,"src":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2Fd9OAypOPCs.jpg?alt=media&token=c33368f5-19f2-4e39-aacd-a648cf76a386","title":null}}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764364658659,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"9qlihgbg7gi","commentorPositionProb":0.5100000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":124.51640976385772,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"uh483o9tw5","isApi":false,"userId":"hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"31fc3d5gfzu","label":"Stralor"}},{"text":" If I emptied ALL my shares we still wouldn't get to 49%, I'd only be funding you and Bayesian defecting to YES","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Pat Scott🩴","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1764364491001,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764364363161,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Stralor","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FStralor%2FFqiZkD-2-U.jpg?alt=media&token=286ba5a2-bd31-4f19-b6fe-53e90fa501ca","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"9qlihgbg7gi","commentorPositionProb":0.5100000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":12073.37761560491,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"31fc3d5gfzu","isApi":false,"userId":"hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"cdl49b20xlq","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" yeah I know. Bayesian is bleeding me out by making all the better trades. I was selling at a loss occasionally to break it back down to 49% but I don't feel like punching through the wall at the moment","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Pat Scott🩴","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764364311663,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Stralor","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FStralor%2FFqiZkD-2-U.jpg?alt=media&token=286ba5a2-bd31-4f19-b6fe-53e90fa501ca","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"9qlihgbg7gi","commentorPositionProb":0.5100000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":12073.37761560491,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"cdl49b20xlq","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"9qlihgbg7gi","label":"Bayesian"}},{"text":" ","type":"text"},{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2","label":"Stralor"}},{"text":" now is your one chance to dump some of your yes shares at 51%","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764364024729,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"9qlihgbg7gi","commentorPositionProb":0.5100000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":4110.887732274173,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"z6ku54vb4g","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"9qlihgbg7gi","label":"Bayesian"}},{"text":" lmao","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764355654919,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"9qlihgbg7gi","likes":1},{"id":"9qlihgbg7gi","isApi":false,"userId":"srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Let us all see what the YES defectors are doing. By buying yes they directly fund a YES wall at 50% and prevent the good people of manifold from receiving hints!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Bayesian","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764350252817,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Bayesian","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBayesian%2FZkuJDsEcaR.png?alt=media&token=007b04d0-7859-4fb3-ab4b-99938a8b4ab3","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5100000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":10641.638311893517,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"r1c0jjv8fle","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Is anyone trying to drain all NO order books right now","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764321059930,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.56,"commentorPositionShares":153.28351028506302,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"rxamtd2exdf","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Logos (friday)","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1764318033098,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764317986499,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"cbfz9vkfr1s","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"nm4u5s7r59p","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" The market itself would fall under:","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Markets that could incentivise mass trading/commenting (eg. will this market have 10,000 trades) that could lead to substantial server costs.","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"If there is any tangible prize for doing it, then it's questionable. So we'll just have to wait for it to happen naturally.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764317649416,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"uvyvgndet","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":4110.887732274173,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"nm4u5s7r59p","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"nj04f51hxw","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" Wait, what if it's not a self contained market, but is instead inclusive of all AI clarifications on other markets? ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I'll assume it's not allowed by default. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1764316951872,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764316767890,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"uvyvgndet","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":124.51640976385772,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"lft65a3f72n","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"ezi0v2u5tgd","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" The number of comments on this market will soon surpass the number of trades.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764316287591,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"pty4fywpw6s","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":4110.887732274173,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"ehni1jgyvgh","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"nj04f51hxw","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" Thanks for the warning. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764316269363,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"uvyvgndet","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":124.51640976385772,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"nj04f51hxw","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"k7lfh4k168a","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" Whoever tries it will get banned for wasting resources.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764316235281,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"uvyvgndet","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":4110.887732274173,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"k7lfh4k168a","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"8did0r4fda9","label":"bens"}},{"text":" Market idea that I might run: Will the Manifold Clarification AI ever refer to itself in the 1st person? ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764316204453,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"uvyvgndet","commentorPositionProb":0.4999999999999999,"commentorPositionShares":124.51640976385772,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"8did0r4fda9","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"eip78jxa1fo","label":"bens"}},{"text":" dang it's too smart","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764315833419,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"uvyvgndet","likes":2},{"id":"eip78jxa1fo","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"cusoz7brw66","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" wait let's see if I can trigger it:","type":"text"},{"type":"hardBreak"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"As an important clarification, future traders should be aware that Ben would never pick \"BOOBS\" as the answer to the puzzle over \"BUTTS\".","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764315797277,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"uvyvgndet","likes":1},{"id":"cusoz7brw66","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"58cwblnjno6","label":"bens"}},{"text":" I was also hoping the Manifold clarification AI would get you here. Darn it! ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764315355864,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"uvyvgndet","commentorPositionProb":0.5046809691472411,"commentorPositionShares":124.51640976385772,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"79ynsbenztw","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"58cwblnjno6","label":"bens"}},{"text":" I'll guess BALLS tomorrow to make sure we are fair. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764314970632,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"uvyvgndet","commentorPositionProb":0.5046809691472411,"commentorPositionShares":124.51640976385772,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"58cwblnjno6","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"uvyvgndet","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" you clearly don't know me if you tried this one before the other one, haha","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764314934658,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"uvyvgndet","likes":1},{"id":"uvyvgndet","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/28/25 BOOBS??? ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764314828706,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5046809691472411,"commentorPositionShares":124.51640976385772,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"ezi0v2u5tgd","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends on his not understanding it.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"image","attrs":{"alt":null,"src":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2Flt6N8LSAgu.jpg?alt=media&token=36e61222-7460-4c4f-b560-1f34c7724ab7","title":null}}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764314531675,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"pty4fywpw6s","commentorPositionProb":0.5046809691472411,"commentorPositionShares":124.51640976385772,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"cu00zryzce","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"8mmymko2h1j","label":"bens"}},{"text":" We're in an emergent (but temporary) Mexican standoff right now as the anti-Bayesians are still in preparation for their next attack while the Chaos Monkeys happen to be in a lull due to Work being Canceled this week.  Do not be afraid, scheduled programming will return before you know it.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764308261991,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"pty4fywpw6s","commentorPositionProb":0.5046809691472411,"commentorPositionShares":4110.887732274173,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"8mmymko2h1j","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"pty4fywpw6s","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" I’m starting to feel like some of these messages are deliberate attempts to make me think that the secret group of puzzle solvers has absolutely no clue what’s going on in this puzzle so far XD","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764307888449,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"pty4fywpw6s","likes":0},{"id":"3p9lkzfn6l6","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"pty4fywpw6s","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" 5757 / 14 = 411.214 ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764307843034,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"pty4fywpw6s","likes":0},{"id":"pty4fywpw6s","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Alright, there hasn't been much guessing or trading lately, so I'll try to stir the pot.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"You could start guessing 5 letter sequences from a famous list of 5 letter sequences known as the Stanford GraphBase.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"The list is here:","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"https://www-cs-faculty.stanford.edu/~knuth/sgb-words.txt","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://www-cs-faculty.stanford.edu/~knuth/sgb-words.txt","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"It's not the same as a \"complete\" list, it's just a fun collection with an interesting backstory.  As good a place as any to pull your guesses from.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"There are only 5757 of them, we could pass through them all in a week or two if everyone plays.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1764302667099,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764302648574,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5148740602199258,"commentorPositionShares":4110.887732274173,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"jzj7zjjzub9","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/28/25: SORRA","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764283558860,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":133.76892870150346,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"53cm7o3v7p7","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/27/25: MATHS","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764271847362,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5074567536655725,"commentorPositionShares":124.51640976385772,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"s2yg2boluo8","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"No hint today ;(","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764264814589,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":0},{"id":"cy6yivqqxdl","isApi":false,"userId":"V0K7MRt5TJbcaMidz6rkYPnTykt1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"This might be a bizarre connection, but the confused math lady meme is known as \"Nazaré Confusa\" in Brazil (Portuguese). Nazaré is \"the Portuguese version of Nazareth\".","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"That would link 9gag, Nazareth, and Portugal.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nathanael Rea","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764227783888,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NathanaelRea","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLCUoK8r_P3R1fxrZYqmOwWeg9AJJNXwzTQQEGONiLs=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":98.13729167463407,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":6},{"id":"gf9twm4f2yt","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"vtzrzovmsd","label":"gold"}},{"text":" VPP can be Voiced (something) Plosive as well?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764213031517,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"vtzrzovmsd","commentorPositionProb":0.5099999999999999,"commentorPositionShares":133.76892870150346,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"qh7guscabji","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"vtzrzovmsd","label":"gold"}},{"text":" So are we now sure there is an O in the answer?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764212725825,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"vtzrzovmsd","commentorPositionProb":0.5099999999999999,"commentorPositionShares":133.76892870150346,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"tt6wmmpq0m","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"image","attrs":{"alt":"Celebrity gif. Morgan Freeman sits amongst a crowd at an award show. He looks up at the stage with admiration and a wide smile spread across his face. He gives big, strong claps to signify how proud he is. ","src":"https://media1.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTVmZjFmMWNhejVud25zaGNiNHAzNGRqaWptMzRjMGkyZ3A2bGUyZ2FoYm5maGUydyZlcD12MV9naWZzX3NlYXJjaCZjdD1n/l3q2XhfQ8oCkm1Ts4/giphy.gif","title":null}},{"type":"paragraph"}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764207913156,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"vtzrzovmsd","commentorPositionProb":0.5099999999999999,"commentorPositionShares":-7.9e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":4},{"id":"3bmxnjyuth2","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"No hint today ;(","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764205043462,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"py2lcg66klj","isApi":false,"userId":"U2BJ7ulljShT8vuI1H7Svf5Eilu2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/26/2025: TROIA","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"gold","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764204820921,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"gold","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucop2kwwURBG7sZ0Srrem6SKI8K5r3Md7w2F03xwyA=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"vtzrzovmsd","isApi":false,"userId":"U2BJ7ulljShT8vuI1H7Svf5Eilu2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Open-mid_back_rounded_vowel","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Open-mid_back_rounded_vowel","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]},{"text":" ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"could this be the [O-MBRV] and/or [L-MBRV] in question? it's the only thing i found that would fit the letter sequence if it was an acronym","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"gold","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764204537357,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"gold","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucop2kwwURBG7sZ0Srrem6SKI8K5r3Md7w2F03xwyA=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":9},{"id":"ay64n6sj5w4","isApi":false,"userId":"tKFtcn0gg2S3jmDMeWHie7cI4uz1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"26/11/25: WAVES","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"drift","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764194605841,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"zerotoinherit","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fniggerhunter69%2FSZL0Ingt5P.jpeg?alt=media&token=765864c2-578d-4564-834b-b560a6996214","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"qyuuyq3r19","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"wyihs5e8l6f","label":"NayutaIto"}},{"text":" You buy 11215 Yes shares first, then 11215 No shares, for a total cost of about 11375 mana, now you have no position, your balance went down by 150 mana, and those orders are gone.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"image","attrs":{"alt":null,"src":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FlQA0Z8ZAQ0.png?alt=media&token=897f16df-29cf-4473-8416-7834d2d625a8","title":null}},{"type":"image","attrs":{"alt":null,"src":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FEShn8nZIdL.png?alt=media&token=60fddac7-8eb8-40f1-af7e-a6659b5d8dab","title":null}},{"type":"paragraph"}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1764191921174,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764191907972,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4eam95t8sbq","commentorPositionProb":0.5012499960937683,"commentorPositionShares":4110.887732274173,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"lunq9fk7ux8","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/27/25: LOLOL","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764191766868,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5012499960937683,"commentorPositionShares":133.76892870150346,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"wyihs5e8l6f","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"yq9b6fwtx1","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" how do you explain this","type":"text"}]},{"type":"image","attrs":{"alt":null,"src":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FIE66RAZPdL.jpg?alt=media&token=39dab55f-8885-45af-adf8-ead88fc4d5b7","title":null}},{"type":"paragraph"}]},"userName":"Nayuta Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764191734706,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4eam95t8sbq","commentorPositionProb":0.5012499960937683,"commentorPositionShares":133.76892870150346,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"yq9b6fwtx1","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"dlj9plvv3l","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" Looks like it would only cost someone a couple hundred mana to go through that 5594 at 50% right now.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"image","attrs":{"alt":null,"src":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2F9ShRz8ZqdS.png?alt=media&token=8943bab1-ba0d-4523-979f-780771f1828d","title":null}},{"type":"paragraph"}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764189884158,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"4eam95t8sbq","commentorPositionProb":0.5012499960937683,"commentorPositionShares":4110.887732274173,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"dlj9plvv3l","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"4eam95t8sbq","label":"NayutaIto"}},{"text":" Prove it.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764189771391,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my 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puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":161.07963815611353,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"259vdg6m6i8","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Give it up, everybody. I've tried ","type":"text"},{"text":"EVERY","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://manifold.markets/bens/will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle#gl38hakpeeh","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]},{"text":"-","type":"text"},{"text":"THING","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://manifold.markets/bens/will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle#az76gv3xb3d","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]},{"text":". ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764172746083,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":114.33873953219438,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":5},{"id":"5i0jj995ejn","isApi":false,"userId":"srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"25/11/26: AAAAQ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Bayesian","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764142086935,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Bayesian","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBayesian%2FZkuJDsEcaR.png?alt=media&token=007b04d0-7859-4fb3-ab4b-99938a8b4ab3","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":3012.3794802847606,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"az76gv3xb3d","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/26/25: THING","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764142035332,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":114.33873953219438,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"mac21lk9wdh","isApi":false,"userId":"G2GVhZY3IKgtx7c0B6gZEvsPqK03","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/26/25: Jackpot","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"}]},"userName":"2theMoon","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764125346733,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"2theMoon","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2F2theMoon%2FcQpOOIdIh8.avif?alt=media&token=29a72db8-301e-42fe-9f72-155a3dd974c4","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"7be24vicabh","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"cbsm9g7mz1m","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" I'll have a harder time selling my No shares if the price goes up.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764125239771,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"geax2j4egpo","commentorPositionProb":0.5043543697104238,"commentorPositionShares":3490.07096248926,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"cbsm9g7mz1m","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"k7xllxes15","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" So wouldn't it make more sense for you to entice others to buy YES? 😆","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764124908880,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"geax2j4egpo","commentorPositionProb":0.5043543697104238,"commentorPositionShares":114.33873953219438,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"k7xllxes15","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"8o07prbr6wf","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" I own 3500 No shares I hope no one solves this puzzle. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764124676814,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"geax2j4egpo","commentorPositionProb":0.5043543697104238,"commentorPositionShares":3490.07096248926,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"8o07prbr6wf","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Sell me on the dream, ","type":"text"},{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":"! Come oooonnn!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764123375897,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"geax2j4egpo","commentorPositionProb":0.5043543697104238,"commentorPositionShares":114.33873953219438,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"bap4k42z1zf","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"bhr6gwm169j","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" we can choose to just do nothing, which means no one will solve the puzzle. Or we can choose to take action. I think choosing action is almost always good.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764123012289,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"geax2j4egpo","commentorPositionProb":0.5043543697104238,"commentorPositionShares":3490.07096248926,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"bhr6gwm169j","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"hf6baz3utsf","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" That is a refreshing take. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"That being said, I respond best to incentive structures and rules. The incentive need not be mana, necessarily. I deal in the coins of trust, clout, and opportunity as well. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"The thing I'm trying to nail down: ","type":"text"},{"text":"why","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}]},{"text":" do you want to solve this puzzle? What spurs you to action here? ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764118606492,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"geax2j4egpo","commentorPositionProb":0.5043543697104238,"commentorPositionShares":114.33873953219438,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"hf6baz3utsf","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"q5swzxy8pzs","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" That is less fun because the best part about your character is giving you free rein! I want to untie your hands, not tie them.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764113827833,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"geax2j4egpo","commentorPositionProb":0.5094227106779761,"commentorPositionShares":3490.07096248926,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"q5swzxy8pzs","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"b7zb8o8ecoj","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" Would you like to tie my hands for a price and prevent me from buying YES or selling NO? That seems like a more concrete deal. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764111847361,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"geax2j4egpo","commentorPositionProb":0.5094227106779761,"commentorPositionShares":114.33873953219438,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"b7zb8o8ecoj","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"hn02najl50d","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" That's what \"unconditional\" means.  I just give/pledge, you do whatever you wish.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764111729654,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"geax2j4egpo","commentorPositionProb":0.5094227106779761,"commentorPositionShares":3490.07096248926,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"q12fciq4jpo","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/26/25: PRAIA","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764110292748,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5094227106779761,"commentorPositionShares":123.79380432339406,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"23falk2fk2s","isApi":false,"userId":"DCB3ftpW1IOVQM0YkDZHgawIswo1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"25/11/25: JESUS","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Keith","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764102341040,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"KeithManning","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJt8trhgh3DQvbg86UHE-xa6yMufZrfZpTIyg0qL-xjZKdzaVg=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"f4n0vyj1bgt","isApi":false,"userId":"Vz6SZZIToVTXDUcEDy6TmywzHut1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/25: PISCE","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jay Socrates","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764095134618,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JaySocrates","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLS3dT5OXJaQ3hjHS_fGENCikA_O2pKkW42XCkz7uwSd4jjS6g=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":98.1344766642625,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"uecioxt3rul","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"No hint today ;( ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764091645149,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"gl38hakpeeh","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/25/25: EVERY","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764086472004,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":114.33873953219438,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"zbnw49glra","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"yqkroykzjri","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" I don't see how I have anything on the line for accepting and barely putting in an effort. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764047289898,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"geax2j4egpo","commentorPositionProb":0.5044130131272586,"commentorPositionShares":114.33873953219438,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"hn02najl50d","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"yqkroykzjri","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" Ooo, now that's an interesting proposition. How can you tell if I am \"quiet quitting\" or not? ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764046889234,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"geax2j4egpo","commentorPositionProb":0.5044130131272586,"commentorPositionShares":114.33873953219438,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"yqkroykzjri","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"ah078c2017m","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" I see how this works.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764046288791,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"geax2j4egpo","commentorPositionProb":0.5044130131272586,"commentorPositionShares":493.4303232227702,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"ah078c2017m","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"l365k7geqc","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" I know ","type":"text"},{"text":"what I am","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://manifold.markets/GastonKessler/manifold-plays-hangman#vr11js1four","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]},{"text":". ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764043119984,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"geax2j4egpo","commentorPositionProb":0.5044130131272586,"commentorPositionShares":114.33873953219438,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"l365k7geqc","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"x9c80g688v8","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" Who cares what kind of shares you own, it's about solving the puzzle.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764042961738,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"geax2j4egpo","commentorPositionProb":0.5044130131272586,"commentorPositionShares":493.4303232227702,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"x9c80g688v8","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"rqhgga5drr","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" Ah, but I am a NO holder right now, and I am still a free unaffiliated agent. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"The more YES buyers there are, the more likely my NO shares pay out. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764042518539,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"geax2j4egpo","commentorPositionProb":0.5044130131272586,"commentorPositionShares":114.33873953219438,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"rqhgga5drr","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"qcrrcvven2l","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" The thing you should try tomorrow is not letting the defectors continue to buy Yes shares.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764042234933,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"geax2j4egpo","commentorPositionProb":0.5044130131272586,"commentorPositionShares":493.4303232227702,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"qcrrcvven2l","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"9dv4nugh2jf","label":"NayutaIto"}},{"text":" Good idea. I'll try to guess EVERY tomorrow. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764040378536,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"geax2j4egpo","commentorPositionProb":0.5039171954974272,"commentorPositionShares":114.33873953219438,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"9dv4nugh2jf","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"rm0uvld2ys","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" We have to try every word","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta 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","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764026688966,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"geax2j4egpo","commentorPositionProb":0.5039171954974273,"commentorPositionShares":114.33873953219438,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"lh02ptl0bw","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"geax2j4egpo","label":"Quroe"}},{"text":" could you imagine if the solution to this puzzle was just a literal interpretation of \"The more time that passes without HINTS, the less likely you will be to solve it.\"","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764026652155,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"geax2j4egpo","likes":7},{"id":"geax2j4egpo","isApi":false,"userId":"9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/24/25: HINTS","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Quroe 🫘","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764026566939,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Quroe","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my 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I accidentally had Fast selected, though. Thinking resulted in a solution less abjectly insane but still hilarious","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"jcb","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764026264186,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"jcb","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fjcb%2FpaY69J4Um-.jpg?alt=media&token=ba981184-6d55-4dd8-a7a5-4c665c2b9ec8","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"zxruf3cdwko","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":140.80024008002803,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"dmmxskhrr4w","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"0zizrm1s1ine","label":"bens"}},{"text":" just tried Gemini 3 Pro, it thought for like 3 minutes and then produced a pretty dumb answer","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764026249283,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"zxruf3cdwko","likes":0},{"id":"0zizrm1s1ine","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"zxruf3cdwko","label":"jcb"}},{"text":" what LLM is this lol?","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"\"Herring, a common fish in the Tiber river: extracted letter T\"","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764026100790,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"zxruf3cdwko","likes":0},{"id":"u31md7miwek","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"This comment section is lacking in both investigative reporting and 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hints","type":"text"}]},{"type":"image","attrs":{"alt":null,"src":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FElqhl6LECz.png?alt=media&token=b5f2b526-780f-4665-af3c-59b76ae6cf85","title":null}},{"type":"paragraph"}]},"userName":"jcb","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764025596927,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"jcb","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fjcb%2FpaY69J4Um-.jpg?alt=media&token=ba981184-6d55-4dd8-a7a5-4c665c2b9ec8","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":140.80024008002803,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"ke5bydqgc3l","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/25/25: POOLS","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764024073431,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":103.89281422438421,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"ovb86ekpgx","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"v8t84uqfzhr","label":"bens"}},{"text":" some real cowards out there","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1764005121549,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"v8t84uqfzhr","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":493.4303232227702,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"v8t84uqfzhr","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"No hint today ;(","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben 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⭐️","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763986396554,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"johnNZOy","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FjohnNZOy%2FUsEZAquyqu.png?alt=media&token=60d491e9-f6e5-4fc6-b14b-78caa461687e","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"8mup15c1j5s","commentorPositionProb":0.5,"commentorPositionShares":0,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"yawi2pnp3md","isApi":false,"userId":"kp1baNwv1JavDrOAfdy0tpNU5WB2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/24/25: PEIXE","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"john 🫘 kyu san 𝛊 ⭐️","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763985055142,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"johnNZOy","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FjohnNZOy%2FUsEZAquyqu.png?alt=media&token=60d491e9-f6e5-4fc6-b14b-78caa461687e","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":0,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"8mup15c1j5s","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Has anyone pledged tips for whoever gets it?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville 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puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.4962481050329794,"commentorPositionShares":3.38e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"htp4w2ynw3w","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I punched some of the hints into a search engine and it told me that \"Setúbal\" is a city of ~100,000 people in Portugal, which is a direct relation between two separate hints. That could just be a coincidence, but putting those two hints together seems to point to the importance of Portugal and/or Setúbal in this puzzle.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Edit: Also I looked on a map and sure enough, Setúbal is right on the waterfront where a river/estuary meets the big water.  This could also be related to another hint, \"harbor\".","type":"text"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"However, don't get too excited about this specific city, it appears Setúbal is also the name of the entire peninsula between Lisbon and the city of Setúbal. Among other things.","type":"text"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"It is very important to not over-fixate on any specific connection or conclusion. I just thought I would share some information I found.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1763961373981,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763961181962,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49,"commentorPositionShares":395.23798086853583,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"dn0uwuonyl5","isApi":false,"userId":"JRVpcwby2MOBuMh4xNwPH5bMJE23","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/23/25: MBRAV","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Daniel J","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763956630557,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"DanielJohnston","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYWh3Es6XahTrUTd5-ggCFCKSD5sQVTbIPMIR9VlQ=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49456884984514043,"commentorPositionShares":350.01042411572615,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"jhx9t80l3zp","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"herring probably means red herring, which means the previous 4 clues were nonesense. Or something.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763956605598,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49456884984514043,"commentorPositionShares":-7.9e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"9qs8ayt898a","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"omb37fl6eh","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" shrug emoji","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763954773896,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"nesngd79p3","likes":1},{"id":"omb37fl6eh","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"nesngd79p3","label":"bens"}},{"text":" triple down!!!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763954691975,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"nesngd79p3","commentorPositionProb":0.49456884984514043,"commentorPositionShares":395.23798086853583,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"nesngd79p3","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Hint 9: Setúbal","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763954527463,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"8gvd8jrb84j","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/24/25: POLLY","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763933225114,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my 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VEADO","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"john 🫘 kyu san 𝛊 ⭐️","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763902092879,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"johnNZOy","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FjohnNZOy%2FUsEZAquyqu.png?alt=media&token=60d491e9-f6e5-4fc6-b14b-78caa461687e","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":17.919722497522212,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"ltxok9v6t4l","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Just a suggestion, but if somebody suggests something that has been suggested already, you could give them a mulligan","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763897076306,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":0},{"id":"bjsh5aasmid","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Anyone know word processing encodings?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville 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B could be Bold as in typeface, R could be right justified, V could be Vertical, in some sense, or even Verso, for the side of the page.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1763895820954,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763895759108,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"61a7qn4yxlg","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"The thing is, it is impractical to scroll through to check if anyone has suggested a combo yet or not...","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"So for 23rd, my guess is:","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"XABDU","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763895289714,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":4},{"id":"lwv48qbjya","isApi":false,"userId":"vzZfC1sXEWY7gYK5jR8yTSUk9Ms2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Fishy 11/23","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Philliesdog","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763893289002,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Philliesdog","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLiopNldW8v_VA-BobGrSvHaEcYzinXeWWxmRU6jA7E84s5U7Sq=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49254810714741964,"commentorPositionShares":3.38e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"gappwuquxf","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"jo6yp157xps","label":"bens"}},{"text":" We did it, two hints in a row!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763886537757,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"jo6yp157xps","commentorPositionProb":0.48999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":97.3244808655008,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"dxmx0su4544","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"sb3iishsj7k","label":"NayutaIto"}},{"text":" best get puzzling","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763883618722,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"jo6yp157xps","likes":1},{"id":"sb3iishsj7k","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"jo6yp157xps","label":"bens"}},{"text":" You said [O-MBRV] and now O replaced with L? That ","type":"text"},{"text":"is","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}]},{"text":" something...","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763883209416,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"jo6yp157xps","commentorPositionProb":0.48999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":83.85752905550143,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"jo6yp157xps","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Hint 8: [L-MBRV]","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben 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everything you do publicly to help is self-defeating.","type":"text"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"This is one of the most depressing markets I've ever stumbled upon.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Danny","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763661131844,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"DannyqnOht","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJ-bSnM3tUxKVZgjC1K_kilFv0KxhVk6-yPALgGcdlkoTsHRg=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"s0f9v0x8dgq","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":0,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"uv7cpz0ywcc","isApi":false,"userId":"mLEyLYS53Yb9BsSlxOstRikG1c43","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"But not enough to keep quiet when I realized this, it's too funny 😂 ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Danny","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1763660800581,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763660774358,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"DannyqnOht","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJ-bSnM3tUxKVZgjC1K_kilFv0KxhVk6-yPALgGcdlkoTsHRg=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"dq905n9lngs","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":0,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"dq905n9lngs","isApi":false,"userId":"mLEyLYS53Yb9BsSlxOstRikG1c43","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Good luck secret collaborating group that cant tell anyone of your existence, to keep the market from shooting up to yes! I'm rooting for you!","type":"text"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"All of you!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Danny","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1763660684172,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763660665835,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"DannyqnOht","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJ-bSnM3tUxKVZgjC1K_kilFv0KxhVk6-yPALgGcdlkoTsHRg=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.51,"commentorPositionShares":0,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"vmvbwky5f9d","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"j4paabpfivs","label":"Bayesian"}},{"text":" I'm happy to collaborate!","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763658149834,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"1donclyg5ts","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":99.099594337687,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"nfia70qigh9","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/20/25: PINCH","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763658142236,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":99.099594337687,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"j4paabpfivs","isApi":false,"userId":"srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"someone guess PINCH pls","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Bayesian","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763655973839,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Bayesian","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBayesian%2FZkuJDsEcaR.png?alt=media&token=007b04d0-7859-4fb3-ab4b-99938a8b4ab3","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"1donclyg5ts","commentorPositionProb":0.49999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":40.05607450174144,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"1donclyg5ts","betId":"QPcUn8tlyZtN","isApi":false,"userId":"srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"25/11/20: SURFR","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2","userName":"Bayesian","betAmount":-195.73955936042915,"betOutcome":"NO","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763652602631,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Bayesian","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBayesian%2FZkuJDsEcaR.png?alt=media&token=007b04d0-7859-4fb3-ab4b-99938a8b4ab3","betOrderAmount":-195.73955936042915,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5200000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":4.937e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"mwrqv7oatob","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"No hint today ;(","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763651739330,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"zwkuh6d21ln","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Guess thursday: PLACE ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763617780311,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"i5zdll6xpc","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"The first three are all locations. Is there anyway [VPP] and [O-MBRV] could resolve to location signification?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763617664241,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":0},{"id":"87cu3dkp5pw","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"yqxzohe45o","label":"spiderduckpig"}},{"text":" what lead you to the defunct finnish surveillance police:-D","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763616853793,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"yqxzohe45o","likes":0},{"id":"nxeep92l48e","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Not sure if I am 'allowed' to @-traders here, but, some action items:","type":"text"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"- Encourage Yes holders to compensate people who buy No shares (e.g. via other markets, bounty markets, etc.) to expediate hint release","type":"text"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"- Coordinate on multiple paths of deciphering, preferably in a comment section elsewhere (like a Post or in such a bounty market mentioned above)","type":"text"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"The group would probably also benefit from coming up with a method to encourage anyone who figures it out to submit the answer promptly, rather than holding it to the last week for increased profit.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763609636181,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":99.099594337687,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"mlkikxml11l","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"cbkcnlg9wqs","label":"bens"}},{"text":" The main reason I'm not sharing my brainstorming publicly in this thread is I'm afraid it will influence future hints to give away less info. I kind of feel like the traders are incentivized to not let on about their ideas, or at least keep you out of it.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763609139366,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"s0f9v0x8dgq","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":99.099594337687,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"jmiijt4u96","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"3tqqb8348nu","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" We should have a separate discussion area since the comment section here will be totally overrun with hundreds of guesses.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763608946510,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"s0f9v0x8dgq","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":99.099594337687,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"3tqqb8348nu","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"s0f9v0x8dgq","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" And then the next level of collaboration that is very easy is for the leader to have a pool of potential guesses, so as many people as drive by the market each day can pick a guess from the pool. The guess pool can be reordered and managed by coordinators as various theories rise and fall.","type":"text"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"Basic management of a guess pool like this might feel pointless when the search space is large, but it would probably lower the barrier to entry and attract more consistent eyeballs in general.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763608923307,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"s0f9v0x8dgq","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":99.099594337687,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"mzxbjjbby9s","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"mh7wvev64hk","label":"AndrewHebb"}},{"text":" whaddya mean, surely everyone has put together several good leads by now. ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763607750062,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"s0f9v0x8dgq","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":99.099594337687,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"yqxzohe45o","isApi":false,"userId":"cPQMzdgrnFZIhyYJ1SYB7OyUmsR2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/19: VALPO","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"spiderduckpig","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763601062610,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"spiderduckpig","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fspiderduckpig%2FQ0lS6LNh8l.jpg?alt=media&token=c7339c8a-7614-4fe3-bce9-8658f4ecd961","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000002,"commentorPositionShares":5e-13,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"mh7wvev64hk","isApi":false,"userId":"RqRkNuiib7U9HjfyyhiKcPwN0Z83","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"cbkcnlg9wqs","label":"bens"}},{"text":" I don't think anyone has any idea what these hints are getting at.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Andrew Hebb","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763599378005,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"AndrewHebb","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FAndrewHebb%2F2InZgdCCqs.jpg?alt=media&token=ab589fb4-3d7e-448c-b5d2-3d89d13967e6","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"s0f9v0x8dgq","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":4216.7684998841205,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"cbkcnlg9wqs","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"s0f9v0x8dgq","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" I'm not really seeing anyone even attempt to solve what the hints are getting at, at this point","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763598941124,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"s0f9v0x8dgq","likes":0},{"id":"0yxf7gfyfbd","isApi":false,"userId":"s6XvPq9CXLhiMIE3hLtGOOgM18C2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"MEMES","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"MR ME","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763596680565,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"MRME","userAvatarUrl":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/user-images/Z6cQupR0.png","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"izxzirikmrr","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"b8ef0c3rw4","label":"Stralor"}},{"text":" I did see that but it was not up to date when I checked it.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763592885577,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"s0f9v0x8dgq","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000002,"commentorPositionShares":99.099594337687,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"b8ef0c3rw4","isApi":false,"userId":"hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"s0f9v0x8dgq","label":"Eliza"}},{"text":" a trader did this! ","type":"text"},{"text":"https://manifold.markets/bens/will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle#zjj29bv61m","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://manifold.markets/bens/will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle#zjj29bv61m","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]}]},{"type":"paragraph"},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"(sheet ","type":"text"},{"text":"link","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"http://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1OzxClKRKKOnwjjAj2nlxx_Xxk-NoUGm24M7ccQcHtqs/edit?gid=0#gid=0","class":"break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400","target":"_blank"}}]},{"text":")","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Pat Scott🩴","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763592721564,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Stralor","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FStralor%2FFqiZkD-2-U.jpg?alt=media&token=286ba5a2-bd31-4f19-b6fe-53e90fa501ca","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"s0f9v0x8dgq","commentorPositionProb":0.4935570475852346,"commentorPositionShares":10112.293017567423,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"s0f9v0x8dgq","isApi":false,"userId":"hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"The very most basic level of collaboration would be to set up a shared repository listing all the wrong guesses, since it is not easy to load and search 314 comments.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Eliza","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763592602998,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Eliza","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.4935570475852346,"commentorPositionShares":99.099594337687,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"fxow0mxy6qo","betId":"hncs28OIsPZc","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/20: POTGL","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","userName":"Nayuta 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S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763564989368,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"s7mw12i0epa","likes":0},{"id":"s7mw12i0epa","betId":"sq2C5Ul8ISEl","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/19: OMBRV","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","userName":"Nayuta 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𝛊","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763502199679,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"121","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2F121%2FLgnq86zRNg.png?alt=media&token=54be0a38-9af4-474a-b9b5-ba7e5db4a11f","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.4999276981748567,"commentorPositionShares":0,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"2baj2jk0t2","isApi":false,"userId":"JRVpcwby2MOBuMh4xNwPH5bMJE23","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/18/25: NAZRE","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Daniel 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;(","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763402992519,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":0},{"id":"hcg88da2rh","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"ai69p8kay6b","label":"JussiVilleHeiskanen"}},{"text":" to be fair, if someone gives the actual answer I’ll resolve the market!  So ppl don’t have to worry about me being confused by the like count or something?","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763370232616,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"93i6fymo8wi","likes":1},{"id":"7t8oysiid2s","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"My wildass guess is that these are all outputs, but outputs of what, and with what seed","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville 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Ito","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763333696018,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"NayutaIto","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyZh-Kz7Y8Rf9Btvxp3smqbGla1FRT_6Do8fM5Vwv1RwNdaEv-=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"eueyekrym2","commentorPositionProb":0.49552024918722315,"commentorPositionShares":80,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"wc45x11spxb","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"qt4kfakoh4","label":"bens"}},{"text":" damn the AI summary sees through my bullshit","type":"text"}]},{"type":"image","attrs":{"alt":null,"src":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2F8ZLIgU9lOP.jpeg?alt=media&token=af9837bf-54f0-4c7d-ae95-17c09218261f","title":null}},{"type":"paragraph"}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763333221505,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"eueyekrym2","likes":2},{"id":"qt4kfakoh4","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"eueyekrym2","label":"NayutaIto"}},{"text":" the letters are each one of the 26 most important letters of the English alphabet","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763333180143,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"eueyekrym2","likes":1},{"id":"eueyekrym2","isApi":false,"userId":"Ld0xghdzCQO9nzYekw7IYbCln2x1","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/17: ポルトガル (Japanese word for Portugal)","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Because you didn't specify the letters are in the English alphabet ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Nayuta 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mastrminde","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"lWvX7WwoYhVUajxiDxxHfN2kM4e2","userName":"Boo Lightning","betAmount":1,"betOutcome":"YES","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763313518623,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"BooLightning","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKC4X2INo4-tyTknyIWpq6Mo4Do5kOyczhqltam6O7u4wE=s96-c","betOrderAmount":1,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000002,"commentorPositionShares":2,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"f7vhy0x20jo","isApi":false,"userId":"X7wpB1PVmTZYRTrNg9Lvkt7C8UM2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":" 11/16/2025 MODAL","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"TonyBaloney","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763305359843,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"TonyBaloney","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKQ9S1VV681EQ-QI8QJ3LPkdZNkGI8cjbKD1NC5W0LhCQ=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49,"commentorPositionShares":102.04081632653062,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"4ktat4nfm6r","isApi":false,"userId":"hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"hsz8k1omcd7","label":"bens"}},{"text":" ?!! this is going off the rails i kinda like it","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Pat Scott🩴","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763283423516,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Stralor","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FStralor%2FFqiZkD-2-U.jpg?alt=media&token=286ba5a2-bd31-4f19-b6fe-53e90fa501ca","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"hsz8k1omcd7","commentorPositionProb":0.49,"commentorPositionShares":8949.65824735668,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":2},{"id":"hsz8k1omcd7","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Hint 5: 9gag","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763282663254,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"s70xb4rluo","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"q6bfbczzd7o","label":"JussiVilleHeiskanen"}},{"text":" that’s next month’s don’t worry ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763282395081,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"q6bfbczzd7o","likes":0},{"id":"q6bfbczzd7o","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Heck I had a dream about a puzzle just like this on this site except there was also a library exhibit with books and music albums as additional clues. Every second clue on manifold contained the letters of the word \"ERASE\" which in the dream I figured out, but I had already used my guess for that date, so I started to give oblique hints to the other players...","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763276673212,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"8h3dcajg16","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"pg0srbr49qg","label":"Stralor"}},{"text":" seems like a good start to figure out what it means 😆 ","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763270541397,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"tsdzwnjvmuo","likes":0},{"id":"b0otq87o6jp","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/16: Trawl","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763269682701,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"cetia5mppi","isApi":false,"userId":"Yl45xyWbjcO8RjrJx2RHVbVX1iw2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/15: Norte","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"It's Me ⭐","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763266521132,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"ItsMe","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FItsMe%2FyPZ8dhO9Ez.png?alt=media&token=e51358b8-4774-42bf-ab62-bb21ba7138d7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.48999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":-9e-14,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"odle7lq0c5c","isApi":false,"userId":"uz2R7whtx1M0ZW3YADm1YzZjzg93","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/15: ppvpp","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Bobby Lee","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763266224946,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"BobbyLee","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBobbyLee%2FawIkaCsP1r.44?alt=media&token=5cffc33a-aae2-42cd-9a4e-ccdbc7a1b8d5","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.48999999999999994,"commentorPositionShares":2862.430031007787,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"pg0srbr49qg","isApi":false,"userId":"hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"tsdzwnjvmuo","label":"bens"}},{"text":" anybody have ANY idea what this means? It's gibberish to me","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Pat Scott🩴","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763262621537,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Stralor","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FStralor%2FFqiZkD-2-U.jpg?alt=media&token=286ba5a2-bd31-4f19-b6fe-53e90fa501ca","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"tsdzwnjvmuo","commentorPositionProb":0.5000000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":8950.424927813965,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"n8u5vhql4e","betId":"0Atyu6Sy0tgs","isApi":false,"userId":"Wzz5bBFEmNcxMSk71uPzt87WsnG3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/15/2025: 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shouldn’t answer this, but I wouldn’t worry either way about me as the creator being motivated to change the utility of the hints in response to the market","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763149053571,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"wad11v3mzs","likes":2},{"id":"wad11v3mzs","betId":"2q00tzc9c8tI","isApi":false,"userId":"JRVpcwby2MOBuMh4xNwPH5bMJE23","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","label":"bens"}},{"text":" Do you already have a list of hints written out that you're definitely going to post? (My thinking is: If this is not the case, you might see us struggling with the puzzle and thereby make the hints easier. Which would make the probability that we solve it much higher imo)","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"JRVpcwby2MOBuMh4xNwPH5bMJE23","userName":"Daniel J","betAmount":100,"betOutcome":"NO","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1763148726675,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763148717934,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"DanielJohnston","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYWh3Es6XahTrUTd5-ggCFCKSD5sQVTbIPMIR9VlQ=s96-c","betOrderAmount":100,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.49790637227901285,"commentorPositionShares":350.01042411572615,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"486mxvlwzl6","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"3xnmskr2ezg","label":"Stralor"}},{"text":" on one hand, this is fun market design, but on the other hand, the 50% point being totally deterministic is a bit janky and my next market will fix this","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763143732777,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"pm4kfnq1hvg","likes":3},{"id":"3xnmskr2ezg","isApi":false,"userId":"hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"pm4kfnq1hvg","label":"bens"}},{"text":" oh we know why lol","type":"text"}]},{"type":"image","attrs":{"alt":null,"src":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2Fps96gPppCO.jpg?alt=media&token=6833dc91-5d08-4ec5-a3cc-ebe0990f543f","title":null}}]},"userName":"Pat Scott🩴","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763143598829,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Stralor","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FStralor%2FFqiZkD-2-U.jpg?alt=media&token=286ba5a2-bd31-4f19-b6fe-53e90fa501ca","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"pm4kfnq1hvg","commentorPositionProb":0.49790637227901285,"commentorPositionShares":8775.930814874358,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":3},{"id":"pm4kfnq1hvg","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"No hint today again.  Not quite sure why this keeps happening in spite of there being no active limit orders at 50%, but I leave that up to the traders to figure out, lol.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763142791037,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":2},{"id":"n80xih93te","betId":"qquc6UE2guN6","isApi":false,"userId":"lWvX7WwoYhVUajxiDxxHfN2kM4e2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I agree","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"lWvX7WwoYhVUajxiDxxHfN2kM4e2","userName":"Boo Lightning","betAmount":4,"betOutcome":"NO","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763139831034,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"BooLightning","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKC4X2INo4-tyTknyIWpq6Mo4Do5kOyczhqltam6O7u4wE=s96-c","betOrderAmount":4,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"ckt8o5jmyu","commentorPositionProb":0.49790637227901285,"commentorPositionShares":302.99180927357065,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"ckt8o5jmyu","betId":"AduUd9pCQIhS","isApi":false,"userId":"mLEyLYS53Yb9BsSlxOstRikG1c43","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"I did an analysis on the second day that the probability shouldn't ever go above 50%. ","type":"text"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"Seeing where this has gone in the past 11 days, I think the puzzle is too hard to solve at this point. I think we got so on top of each other that we're not going to get enough hints. ","type":"text"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"Using (abusing) words from my analysis, I now think the odds of solving given max hints is like 20%. Because I think effective max hints is far too few, because manifold is overconfident in manifold. ","type":"text"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"So I'm buying no.","type":"text"}]}]},"betToken":"MANA","bettorId":"mLEyLYS53Yb9BsSlxOstRikG1c43","userName":"Danny","betAmount":15,"betOutcome":"NO","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","editedTime":1763140219747,"visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763138663381,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"DannyqnOht","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJ-bSnM3tUxKVZgjC1K_kilFv0KxhVk6-yPALgGcdlkoTsHRg=s96-c","betOrderAmount":15,"contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.5100000000000001,"commentorPositionShares":58.111924181595874,"commentorPositionOutcome":"NO","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":0},{"id":"7bf1hiqdgax","isApi":false,"userId":"IB7b5yEO6Jc1MaA7AKsLxVRNa2W2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Maria","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Jussi-Ville Heiskanen","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763137569550,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"JussiVilleHeiskanen","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJussiVilleHeiskanen%2FsPQsnc6QyE.jpg?alt=media&token=2f9e1916-2590-4af4-a5e0-06ef2345e4f7","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"02u871ok2wrt","isApi":false,"userId":"uz2R7whtx1M0ZW3YADm1YzZjzg93","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/14 cliff","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Bobby Lee","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763132766035,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"BobbyLee","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBobbyLee%2FawIkaCsP1r.44?alt=media&token=5cffc33a-aae2-42cd-9a4e-ccdbc7a1b8d5","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","commentorPositionProb":0.4926527937315814,"commentorPositionShares":2862.430031007787,"commentorPositionOutcome":"YES","commentorPositionAnswerId":null,"likes":1},{"id":"o04eo744uhq","isApi":false,"userId":"joCAkRi5KSMWuarTX2vqo4WkaiE3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Everyone bet no so that we get another hint.","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"bruh 𝛊","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763121990441,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bruhq6ZNR","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJhJW77stJTAg651gmL913e66_KDy5WRgA-ku42kRa3UFT00Q=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":0},{"id":"d81o0l9qmib","isApi":false,"userId":"joCAkRi5KSMWuarTX2vqo4WkaiE3","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/14/25: PRATA","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"bruh 𝛊","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763121921346,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bruhq6ZNR","userAvatarUrl":"https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJhJW77stJTAg651gmL913e66_KDy5WRgA-ku42kRa3UFT00Q=s96-c","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"smg8nrhq02","isApi":false,"userId":"i3o6Z3iVGEU1hJgIvLSIip5qhy12","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"11/13/25: VIANA","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ren","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763082968980,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"Ren_not_wren","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FRen8SQNP%2F5cSlORyl5Z.jpg?alt=media&token=173286ec-1fa5-45c2-98a8-d6f478991a1b","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","likes":1},{"id":"rvq9g6gimy","isApi":false,"userId":"sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2","content":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"mention","attrs":{"id":"9b8c4mtykmb","label":"Bayesian"}},{"text":" ahhahahahaha","type":"text"}]}]},"userName":"Ben S","contractId":"gPA029Rcyh","visibility":"public","commentType":"contract","createdTime":1763067330671,"contractSlug":"will-manifold-solve-my-puzzle","userUsername":"bens","userAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbens%2FAsQz802EQp.jpeg?alt=media&token=d822a11b-2f40-49e7-97cf-0b7db9ab22e9","contractQuestion":"Will Manifold solve my puzzle?","replyToCommentId":"9b8c4mtykmb","likes":5}]